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  Talk Elections
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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  OR-Oregon Public Broadcasting/DHM Research: Hillary+7
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Author Topic: OR-Oregon Public Broadcasting/DHM Research: Hillary+7  (Read 417 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 18, 2016, 02:58:56 pm »

43% Hillary
36% Trump
  7% Johnson
  5% Stein
  3% Others

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http://www.opb.org/news/series/election-2016/hillary-clinton-kate-brown-lead-in-new-opb-poll

http://res.cloudinary.com/bdy4ger4/image/upload/v1476741090/OPBNewPoll_bwepki.pdf
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Speed of Sound
LiberalPA
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« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2016, 02:59:56 pm »

Don't know much about this firm. Probably underselling Clinton a bit through 3rd party inflation.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2016, 04:06:52 pm »

Safe D, pollsters will probably undersell Clinton's Margin here like they did with Obama in 2012.
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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2016, 07:44:54 pm »

This poll does seem a little bunk, although as I have stated elsewhere in states that seem "Safe R" and "Safe D" one will typically see higher level of respondents telling pollsters they will support 3rd Party candidates, and it perhaps is not surprising that as national poll numbers look more dire for Trump more Oregonians are feeling comfortable backing minor party candidates as protest votes.

Also, I will officially predict that Stein will outperform Johnson in Oregon in November.
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