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  Talk Elections
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  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ-HighGround: Clinton +2  (Read 1959 times)
HillOfANight
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,459
« on: October 17, 2016, 02:20:43 pm »
« edited: October 17, 2016, 02:23:30 pm by HillOfANight »

http://www.azhighground.com/blog/post/latest-poll-shows-arizona-is-officially-a-battleground-state
https://www.scribd.com/document/327920049/HG-Survey-Toplines-10-14

Clinton 39
Trump 37
Johnson 8
Stein 3
Someone else 5
Undecided 7
Refused 3

Maricopa County
Clinton +5 (Romney +10)

Pima County
Clinton +24 (Obama +7)
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HillOfANight
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,459
« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2016, 02:39:47 pm »

Maricopa +5? Sounds too good to be true.

Plus, the county is consistently more Republican than the statewide average.  If she's leading in Maricopa by 5, then she'd probably be leading by 7 or so statewide.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election_in_Arizona,_2012
I calculated the "rural" #s from here, excluding Pima/Maricopa. Obama got 41% and Romney got 57% (16 points).

The poll says he's up 22 among the rural parts... Rural is 24% of the vote.
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