VA: CNU - Clinton +15
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Author Topic: VA: CNU - Clinton +15  (Read 3704 times)
Southern Delegate matthew27
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« on: October 16, 2016, 06:33:07 AM »
« edited: October 16, 2016, 11:56:08 AM by Likely Voter »
Clinton expands lead over Trump to 15 points, 44-29 (Virginia)

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http://cnu.edu/cpp/pdf/oct%2016%202016%20report-final.pdf

No wonder Trump is packing his bags in this state!
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Slow Learner
Battenberg
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« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2016, 06:33:57 AM »
[TENDER]Stop editorializing![/TENDER]
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2016, 07:43:02 AM »
How can 6% of likely voters vote for "none" ?

"none" isn't even an option in VA.

I guess in this case it means that 6% of voters will invalidate their ballot ...
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heatcharger
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« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2016, 08:37:17 AM »
« Edited: October 16, 2016, 08:39:12 AM by heatcharger »
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LOLTrump. This guy was campaigning in Loudoun County, the county with the highest median income in the nation, talking endlessly about how some plant closed down in Harrisonburg like anyone up north even cares. It didn't help that their campaign was practically invisible on the ground.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2016, 09:05:31 AM »
I suppose Trump has completed VA's transformation to Safe D.
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Holmes
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« Reply #5 on: October 16, 2016, 09:14:04 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 16, 2016, 07:43:02 AM
How can 6% of likely voters vote for "none" ?

"none" isn't even an option in VA.

I guess in this case it means that 6% of voters will invalidate their ballot ...

No one for President but maybe they're thinking of voting downballot?
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Cashew
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« Reply #6 on: October 16, 2016, 09:52:28 AM »
Quote from: Arch on October 16, 2016, 09:05:31 AM
I suppose Trump has completed VA's transformation to Safe D.
The new Maryland.
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calvinhobbesliker
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« Reply #7 on: October 16, 2016, 09:52:46 AM »
Quote from: Holmes on October 16, 2016, 09:14:04 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 16, 2016, 07:43:02 AM
How can 6% of likely voters vote for "none" ?

"none" isn't even an option in VA.

I guess in this case it means that 6% of voters will invalidate their ballot ...

No one for President but maybe they're thinking of voting downballot?

All state races in VA take place in 2017, and there are no Senate races, so there's not much down ballot to vote for.
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Kaine for Senate '18
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« Reply #8 on: October 16, 2016, 10:38:52 AM »
New Poll: Virginia President by Christopher Newport University on 2016-10-14

Summary: D: 44%, R: 29%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Alaska2392
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« Reply #9 on: October 16, 2016, 10:41:54 AM »
There is already a thread for this poll.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #10 on: October 16, 2016, 10:42:46 AM »
Quote from: NRS11 on October 16, 2016, 10:41:54 AM
There is already a thread for this poll.

Ah, well it hadn't been entered into the database. My mistake.
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Xing
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« Reply #11 on: October 16, 2016, 10:46:50 AM »
No way is Johnson getting 11% here. Junk.
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mark_twain
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« Reply #12 on: October 16, 2016, 10:52:47 AM »

I'll take it!
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Alcon
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« Reply #13 on: October 16, 2016, 11:38:48 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 16, 2016, 07:43:02 AM
How can 6% of likely voters vote for "none" ?

"none" isn't even an option in VA.

I guess in this case it means that 6% of voters will invalidate their ballot ...

...No.  You can skip a race on the ballot without invalidating your entire ballot; it's called an "undervote" for that race.  There are more races on there than the Presidential.  I really doubt 6% of people will skip the Presidential, but some will, probably more than in most past years.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #14 on: October 16, 2016, 12:33:40 PM »
Probably an outlier, but, again, it's the kind of outlier that inspires confidence.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #15 on: October 16, 2016, 01:58:36 PM »
Maybe +15 is a bit high, but I still believe VA is definitely (minimum) "Likely," and possibly "Safe/Solid."
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #16 on: October 16, 2016, 02:43:27 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on October 16, 2016, 01:58:36 PM
Maybe +15 is a bit high, but I still believe VA is definitely (minimum) "Likely," and possibly "Safe/Solid."

You could say it's more Likely to be Safe than Lean. Wink
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windjammer
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« Reply #17 on: October 16, 2016, 03:35:39 PM »
If Clinton is leading by 11 points, that seems to be accurate.
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pppolitics
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« Reply #18 on: October 16, 2016, 03:50:21 PM »
Quote from: Cashew on October 16, 2016, 09:52:28 AM
Quote from: Arch on October 16, 2016, 09:05:31 AM
I suppose Trump has completed VA's transformation to Safe D.
The new Maryland.
So is North Carolina the new Virginia?
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #19 on: October 16, 2016, 04:22:49 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on October 16, 2016, 02:43:27 PM
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on October 16, 2016, 01:58:36 PM
Maybe +15 is a bit high, but I still believe VA is definitely (minimum) "Likely," and possibly "Safe/Solid."

You could say it's more Likely to be Safe than Lean. Wink

Who's on first ?
LOL.
;-)
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Ban my account ffs!
snowguy716
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« Reply #20 on: October 16, 2016, 04:26:09 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on October 16, 2016, 07:43:02 AM
How can 6% of likely voters vote for "none" ?

"none" isn't even an option in VA.

I guess in this case it means that 6% of voters will invalidate their ballot ...
Um...by not voting for president and voting for the other offices?  Does Austria force you to vote on every office lest your ballot be invalidated?
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Bakersfield Uber Alles
Fubart Solman
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« Reply #21 on: October 16, 2016, 05:10:19 PM »
McMullin (at 3%) is leading Stein (2%). It'll be interesting to see if this holds. I'd have to guess that McMullin's beat areas would be in NoVA, although the cross tabs say that he's doing better in Richmond (in the Oct 3rd poll, he was doing better in NoVA).
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Obama-Biden Democrat
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« Reply #22 on: October 16, 2016, 05:19:49 PM »
Wow! High Energy state, beautiful, Thank you Virginia!
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voter1993
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« Reply #23 on: October 16, 2016, 06:14:09 PM »
Republicans usually do better than what the polls say so i'm assuming it's around 3-6 points for clinton
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #24 on: October 16, 2016, 07:36:32 PM »
Quote from: voter1993 on October 16, 2016, 06:14:09 PM
Republicans usually do better than what the polls say so i'm assuming it's around 3-6 points for clinton

15? Unlikely for just about any state. Virginia has been close to the national average.

Maybe 15 is a bit high for Virginia, but I have seen lots of polls with Virginia near 10 up for Clinton. 

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