This poll suggests Hillary's lead is around 5% nationally.
Actually, no it doesn't. 1). Because trying to guess a national lead from a Montana poll is certifiably INSANE and 2). because even if you wanted to do that, Romney won Montana by 14 when Obama won by 4 nationally, so logic would dictate Clinton is up by 8 now.
Go to math class again.
MT is a small state and McCain won it by 2, while Obama won by 7 nationally, a difference of 9.
Romney won by 14 while Obama won by 4, a difference of 18.
So, it's likely that MT will be anywhere between 9 and 18 points more Republican than the nation.
A 5% Hillary lead looks likely with a 10% lead for Trump there.
As Obama says, C'mon man....you've been following this all election. You know that swings are not going to happen uniformly....states with higher percentages of college educated whites, such as CO and VA are heavily breaking for Hillary. States with higher percentages of non college educated whites are close. According to 538, with Hillary's current 7 point lead, she should lose Montana by 10. And in this poll, she loses by 10.
