Is Clinton's momentum stalling?
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Author Topic: Is Clinton's momentum stalling?  (Read 1724 times)
Beefalow and the Consumer
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« on: October 13, 2016, 04:35:15 PM »
There's been a trickle of iffy polls for Clinton today.  Maybe it's just a blip, but we have the Rasmussen with Trump ahead, Marist putting Trump up in Ohio, Clinton only up 3 in Emerson's Virginia poll... maybe it's nothing, but has she gotten all the bump from Access Hollywood as she's going to get?
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2016, 04:36:58 PM »
Oh good lord...

Emerson and Rasmussen are pure trash.

The Marist poll had even party I.D.

Hillary is in great shape.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2016, 04:44:30 PM »
Didn't recognize the name at first. When I found out it was Beet it gave me a good laugh.
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F_S_USATN
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« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2016, 04:46:44 PM »
Probably is stalling a bit...at this point she might lose one battleground state
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2016, 04:48:23 PM »
Yep, she is stalling. I'm afraid she will win by only 8-10 points.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: October 13, 2016, 04:50:25 PM »
I knew that Ohio poll would cause bedwetting.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #6 on: October 13, 2016, 04:50:39 PM »
I'm not worried yet. Will be if the media narrative starts to change.
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2016, 04:50:56 PM »
Trump's debate performance on Sunday night solidified his base.  He got his wavering Republicans and whites back, not much more.  I think Hillary wins NC and narrowly pulls out OH and probably lose IA.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2016, 04:51:53 PM »
nothing clear at all and if it's stalling...at which point, in which states? much too volatile situation..in one week we are going to see it clearer.
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Figueira
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« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2016, 04:52:34 PM »
Possibly, but it's way too early to tell. She was doing great today on 538 until the latest poll dump.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2016, 04:56:03 PM »
Quote from: Figueira on October 13, 2016, 04:52:34 PM
Possibly, but it's way too early to tell. She was doing great today on 538 until the latest poll dump.

Which I don't get, other than the Ohio poll and that stupid Emerson Virgina poll.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #11 on: October 13, 2016, 04:56:56 PM »
yeah stalling at a 6% lead oh my god lets panic
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2016, 04:58:03 PM »
« Edited: October 13, 2016, 05:08:10 PM by Fmr President & Senator Polnut »
Quote from: Maxwell on October 13, 2016, 04:56:56 PM
yeah stalling at a 6% lead oh my god lets panic

This is why Democrats can't have nice things.
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yawa
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« Reply #13 on: October 13, 2016, 05:01:04 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 13, 2016, 04:48:23 PM
Yep, she is stalling. I'm afraid she will win by only 8-10 points.

10 points at least.
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Person Man
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« Reply #14 on: October 13, 2016, 05:01:35 PM »
A lot of people just think that Clinton has trouble maintaining momentum or that if Trump got this far...
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Rand
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« Reply #15 on: October 13, 2016, 05:07:43 PM »
Her momentum hasn't stalled, some of us just expected more of a post-tape swing in Hillary's favor and when we don't see those 15-point swings we start to think the worst.  But the polls numbers this week have been very encouraging.
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morgieb
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« Reply #16 on: October 13, 2016, 05:19:03 PM »
I think it's a case of Atlas overstating her position.

That Ohio poll is a bit worrying, but in reality she doesn't need Ohio for 270. As for Virginia, Emerson have been terrible this cycle, so I won't fret until we see a normal poll with it close.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #17 on: October 13, 2016, 05:19:32 PM »
Quote from: Speed of Sound on October 13, 2016, 04:44:30 PM
Didn't recognize the name at first. When I found out it was Beet it gave me a good laugh.

I'm Beef, not Beet.  User 69, he's user 20.  He's been here a good three weeks longer than me.

Anyway, I'm not worried she'll lose, just wondering if the Access Hollywood tapes weren't as damaging as we expected.

I want the death spiral, and I want it now.
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
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« Reply #18 on: October 13, 2016, 05:22:57 PM »
Quote from: Oh Hill Yes on October 13, 2016, 04:50:39 PM
I'm not worried yet. Will be if the media narrative starts to change.

This is where I am. I can't be worried when I'm seeing 10 point leads in Pennsylvania and Michigan and 5 point leads in Florida and North Carolina, but there is always the possibility the news outlets decide the election isn't close enough and spend more time promoting the Russian propaganda from Wikileaks.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #19 on: October 13, 2016, 05:28:23 PM »
Fox News poll shows her up 8 points.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #20 on: October 13, 2016, 05:29:39 PM »
Quote from: Maxwell on October 13, 2016, 05:28:23 PM
Fox News poll shows her up 8 points.

Most of the concern is with the EV, though. No one thinks Trump can win the PV.
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Hermit For Peace
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« Reply #21 on: October 13, 2016, 05:38:56 PM »

In the larger scheme of things, in the larger view, it doesn't matter what daily ups and downs occur.

Look at the entire campaign from the beginning. Hillary has been consistently ahead.

And lately with Trump's campaign imploding from all the scandals, it's simply a downhill slide for him from now, on.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #22 on: October 13, 2016, 05:44:23 PM »
Quote from: Oh Hill Yes on October 13, 2016, 05:29:39 PM
Quote from: Maxwell on October 13, 2016, 05:28:23 PM
Fox News poll shows her up 8 points.

Most of the concern is with the EV, though. No one thinks Trump can win the PV.

Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

even realclearpolitics shows Trump at a huge disadvantage.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #23 on: October 13, 2016, 05:45:52 PM »
Quote from: Maxwell on October 13, 2016, 05:44:23 PM
Quote from: Oh Hill Yes on October 13, 2016, 05:29:39 PM
Quote from: Maxwell on October 13, 2016, 05:28:23 PM
Fox News poll shows her up 8 points.

Most of the concern is with the EV, though. No one thinks Trump can win the PV.

Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

even realclearpolitics shows Trump at a huge disadvantage.

I don't pay attention to rearclearpolitics...isn't that an average of PV polls though?
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #24 on: October 13, 2016, 05:50:09 PM »
« Edited: October 13, 2016, 06:23:03 PM by Fmr President & Senator Polnut »
Quote from: Oh Hill Yes on October 13, 2016, 05:45:52 PM
Quote from: Maxwell on October 13, 2016, 05:44:23 PM
Quote from: Oh Hill Yes on October 13, 2016, 05:29:39 PM
Quote from: Maxwell on October 13, 2016, 05:28:23 PM
Fox News poll shows her up 8 points.

Most of the concern is with the EV, though. No one thinks Trump can win the PV.

Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

even realclearpolitics shows Trump at a huge disadvantage.

I don't pay attention to rearclearpolitics...isn't that an average of PV polls though?

OK ... IF Hillary is winning the national PV by more than 3-4 then she's going to win the EV.
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