What's the all time record for the lowest popular vote %age for the winner of a state in US presidential elections? I just looked up the 1912 race, and Wilson managed to win Idaho with just 32% of the vote. Is that the record? Any chance that Utah could actually beat that record this time?
In 1860, Lincoln won California with 32.32% which comes close to Wilson's 32.08 in Idaho in 1912. John Q. Adams won Illinois with 32.46% in 1824. It seems really difficult, historically, to win with much less than 1/3rd of the vote. I expect a lot of Johnson supports will break towards McMullin if this trend holds.