UT: Y2 Analytics- Tie (user search)
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Author Topic: UT: Y2 Analytics- Tie  (Read 8496 times)
An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,735
United States


« on: October 12, 2016, 03:06:43 PM »

The lack of an article on 538 addressing McMullin's chances and effect on #BattlegroundUtah is hard proof that Nate Silver doesn't read Atlas.

Harry Enten does though. He thinks that we'll use green for McMullin. https://twitter.com/forecasterenten/status/786085100593307648
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An American Tail: Fubart Goes West
Fubart Solman
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,735
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 12, 2016, 07:43:43 PM »

Johnson's only real strength in Utah was as a protest candidate. Now that McMullin is a major player, I expect that he'll get a bit more Johnson support (Johnson will probably get 8-10% in UT). If McMullin can roll out endorsements from Chaffetz, Lee, Herbert, Romney, etc., I expect that he'll win Utah.

As much as I would love to see Johnson win a state, I'll be happy if McMullin wins Utah as long as Johnson still gets 5% nationwide. Anything to make the map more colorful.

I'd love to see an Idaho poll as well.
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