NV-Clarity Campaign: Tie
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Author Topic: NV-Clarity Campaign: Tie  (Read 1201 times)
HillOfANight
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« on: October 13, 2016, 11:56:54 AM »
http://endcitizensunited.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/ECU-NV-poll3-Oct12.pdf

Trump 43
Clinton 43
Other 6
Unsure 8
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TC 25
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2016, 11:57:57 AM »
Another good poll for Trump.  43-43.  Let's face it Hillary can't put him away.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2016, 11:58:12 AM »
33% R, 30% D? Junk.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2016, 11:59:00 AM »
a group called end-citizen-united has a 33% r bias?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2016, 12:00:52 PM »
Cortez-Mastro is over performing Clinton by 2%. Both races won't end up being that close in the end.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #5 on: October 13, 2016, 12:03:05 PM »
Quote from: TC 25 on October 13, 2016, 11:57:57 AM
Another good poll for Trump.  43-43.  Let's face it Hillary can't put him away.

Hillary has already put him away.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #6 on: October 13, 2016, 12:12:43 PM »
Hmmmm.
Nevada still scares me.
I wish Hillary would spend a little more time and resources there.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2016, 12:14:48 PM »
Quote from: ProudModerate2 on October 13, 2016, 12:12:43 PM
Hmmmm.
Nevada still scares me.
I wish Hillary would spend a little more time and resources there.

She was in Vegas last night...
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2016, 12:18:54 PM »
Nevada has too few EV to lose sleep. Anyway, there is no chance Clinton wins by 5+ points and doesn't carry the state.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2016, 12:19:33 PM »
Nevada is a notoriously hard state to poll. This is one state I would not be surprised to see anyone take it.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2016, 12:20:13 PM »
Who are these guys...?
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #11 on: October 13, 2016, 12:20:30 PM »
We just have to hope that the vast majority of "unsure" decide not to vote.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2016, 12:22:54 PM »
This poll also undersampled Latinos, and oversampled older voters. Nothing to worry about here.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #13 on: October 13, 2016, 12:44:39 PM »
« Edited: October 13, 2016, 12:47:53 PM by BoAtlantis »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on October 13, 2016, 12:22:54 PM
This poll also undersampled Latinos, and oversampled older voters. Nothing to worry about here.

Almost all polls weigh by like age, gender, race and education so in theory that problem is mostly offset, though the caveat is that the under-sampled group will have higher margin of error even controlling for demographics and turnout.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #14 on: October 13, 2016, 01:01:25 PM »
lol
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