NBC/WSJ National: Clinton+11 (4-way) / +14

[Devout Centrist]

Live Video from RNC Headquarters: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E1jf2hOkec4

[Devout Centrist]

Oh, this is probably some obscure po-
...
...
...
It's NBC/WSJ...
...
...
...My God.....

https://youtu.be/5FBFVY0CUYk?t=2

[Devout Centrist]

Assuming a uniform swing, a 11-point Clinton win would look like:

Not as pronounced as you might think

14 point Clinton win:

But, if you bring it up to a 17-point margin:

20 point margin:

24 point margin:

Now, the flaw in this is that it doesn't factor in elasticity or trends.  For example, I'm far more worried about Alaska than Mississippi.

I call BS on the first 2. Arizona is already close and Georgia hasn't been polled in a while. The result you posted looks more like Clinton +6 or +7.

[Devout Centrist]

72% of Republicans are backing Trump and this lines up with PPP saying Trump is in the 70s in 2/3 of their polls.

This is could get really ugly for GOP. I mean we are talking about a 1988 type of landslide.

This could potentially be bigger than that in the popular vote. The largest PV victory post 1984 was +8.5 by Bill Clinton in 1996. This could be close to double digits, a rarity since 1984.

[Devout Centrist]

A Clinton popular vote win of this magnitude would make for a far more interesting election night than a Obama 2008-style win. Various 'unusual' states at play, House in play, loads of Senate seats switching etc.

If Clinton wins by 7-12 points, the House is definitely in play.

Senate may break 53-47 or 54-46 Democratic.

[Devout Centrist]

Well, my theory on America being the best country on the face of the earth has been proven right yet again.

Fixed