Quinnipiac National: Clinton +5 (user search)
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  Quinnipiac National: Clinton +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac National: Clinton +5  (Read 1473 times)
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,073
United States


« on: October 07, 2016, 11:43:32 AM »

Dems
Clinton 89%
Trump 3%
Stein 3%
Johnson 2%

GOP
Trump 87%
Clinton 5%
Johnson 5%
Stein 0%

Indies
Clinton 46%
Trump 32%
Johnson 10%
Stein 7%

Also, 32 point gender gap in the 4-way:

men: Trump +12
women: Clinton +20

And both Johnson and Stein doing better with non-whites than whites.
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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2016, 12:59:39 PM »

I would still like to see Hillary do better amongst minorities. Obama took 'em at 80%, right? But there are more of them... if Hillary can get to like 74 or 75, that pretty much makes  victory assured even if Trump turns it around or has people coming down from the trees for the first time.

I just did the algebra on the 2012 exit polls, and by my calculations, Obama wins non-whites 82%-18%, if you're only talking about the 2-party vote (so excluding 3rd party/other here).  In this poll, Clinton leads the 2-party vote on minorities 78%-22% in both the 2-way and 4-way question.  While the poll has Johnson and Stein doing well with minorities, they're not pulling a disproportionate share of those minorities away from Clinton.  It's just that Clinton has more minority support to begin with, so she has more to lose.
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