Quinnipiac National: Clinton +5
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  Quinnipiac National: Clinton +5
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac National: Clinton +5  (Read 1452 times)
Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
HockeyDude
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« Reply #25 on: October 07, 2016, 12:15:12 PM »


http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/us/us10072016_demos_Udmr62f.pdf

Sample and Methodology detail

White 68%

undersampled White. actually it could be Hillary +2~3%. not +5%



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Person Man
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« Reply #26 on: October 07, 2016, 12:15:56 PM »

I would still like to see Hillary do better amongst minorities. Obama took 'em at 80%, right? But there are more of them... if Hillary can get to like 74 or 75, that pretty much makes  victory assured even if Trump turns it around or has people coming down from the trees for the first time.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #27 on: October 07, 2016, 12:22:24 PM »

Our Mr Seriously wrote this two days after the first debate, in regards to no/minor movement in one of the polls he loves to follow.
I wonder if he still feels the same way now ?
LOL.

Just wobbling along statistical insignificance. Nothing of note after the debate either way.
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mark_twain
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« Reply #28 on: October 07, 2016, 12:27:45 PM »

Great poll!
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #29 on: October 07, 2016, 12:59:39 PM »

I would still like to see Hillary do better amongst minorities. Obama took 'em at 80%, right? But there are more of them... if Hillary can get to like 74 or 75, that pretty much makes  victory assured even if Trump turns it around or has people coming down from the trees for the first time.

I just did the algebra on the 2012 exit polls, and by my calculations, Obama wins non-whites 82%-18%, if you're only talking about the 2-party vote (so excluding 3rd party/other here).  In this poll, Clinton leads the 2-party vote on minorities 78%-22% in both the 2-way and 4-way question.  While the poll has Johnson and Stein doing well with minorities, they're not pulling a disproportionate share of those minorities away from Clinton.  It's just that Clinton has more minority support to begin with, so she has more to lose.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #30 on: October 07, 2016, 01:12:13 PM »

Clinton's leading Trump by 4 points among college educated white people. Has this happened before in the last 50 years?

Meet the new Republicans.  They're called "Democrats."
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #31 on: October 07, 2016, 01:13:53 PM »

the liberals are stealing the rep youth and the parts of the neocons not yet social conservati-fied.

not a real wonder that characters like david frum, mister podhoretz, mister kristol or jennifer rubin/paul wolfowitz are some of the biggest trump-skeptics/enemies of the GOP.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #32 on: October 07, 2016, 01:29:38 PM »

the liberals are stealing the rep youth and the parts of the neocons not yet social conservati-fied.

not a real wonder that characters like david frum, mister podhoretz, mister kristol or jennifer rubin/paul wolfowitz are some of the biggest trump-skeptics/enemies of the GOP.

Alienate generations of American imperialists with this one weird candidate. Neocons HATE this!!
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Holmes
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« Reply #33 on: October 07, 2016, 01:30:44 PM »

That numbers for Independents is huge. Romney won Independents and still lost by nearly 4%. If Trump can't win Independents, he's cooked.

Mhmm... winning Indies by 14% and only up 5%. Ah well.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #34 on: October 07, 2016, 04:07:15 PM »

This should put her over 80% in the polls-only model.

It happened 15 minutes ago as of this comment.
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