Fairleigh Dickinson National: Clinton +10/+9
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Author Topic: Fairleigh Dickinson National: Clinton +10/+9  (Read 1676 times)
heatcharger
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« on: October 05, 2016, 08:15:12 AM »
« edited: October 05, 2016, 08:17:44 AM by heatcharger »
Link.

Clinton - 50%
Trump - 40%

Clinton - 45%
Trump - 36%
Johnson - 11%
Stein - 3%

Tim Kaine would also crush Trump in a hypothetical matchup 55-39, while Clinton would still beat Pence 47-46.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2016, 08:16:22 AM »
Wowza...
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2016, 08:21:31 AM »
Looks like Clinton will be giving Trump a good trashing!
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2016, 08:21:42 AM »
Well... That's nice to see.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #4 on: October 05, 2016, 08:22:26 AM »
A pollster according to 538.....

i don't buy it Tongue


+6% female

+ 5% dem

sounds not soooooo wrong.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2016, 08:23:43 AM »
Quote from: ApatheticAustrian on October 05, 2016, 08:22:26 AM
A pollster according to 538.....

i don't buy it Tongue


+6% female

+ 5% dem

sounds not soooooo wrong.

Sounds exactly right actually
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Seriously?
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« Reply #6 on: October 05, 2016, 08:25:31 AM »
Sounds Fairliegh Ridiculous to me.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #7 on: October 05, 2016, 08:27:55 AM »
Quote from: ApatheticAustrian on October 05, 2016, 08:22:26 AM
A pollster according to 538.....

i don't buy it Tongue


+6% female

+ 5% dem

sounds not soooooo wrong.

Wow! An "A" grade poll has Trump down almost double digits!!
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #8 on: October 05, 2016, 08:30:50 AM »
YOWZERS!

Great poll!
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KingSweden
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« Reply #9 on: October 05, 2016, 08:32:35 AM »

Heh I see what you did there
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #10 on: October 05, 2016, 08:34:03 AM »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on October 05, 2016, 08:27:15 AM
But Seriously? told me Trump was the most electable Republican!

i think he is the most disruptive candidate - the personification of "double down".

any other 2016 candidate - besides maybe rubio or kasich  - would have some major problems of his own.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #11 on: October 05, 2016, 08:34:56 AM »
Splendid poll. Hillary is going to maul Trump worse than that bear did to Leonardo Di Caprio.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #12 on: October 05, 2016, 08:54:45 AM »
Tremendous numbers!
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Chief Justice Keef
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« Reply #13 on: October 05, 2016, 08:57:05 AM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 05, 2016, 08:34:56 AM
Splendid poll. Hillary is going to maul Trump worse than that bear did to Leonardo Di Caprio.

Trump will spend the next four years eating raw fish and sleeping in horse carcasses before he runs again in 2020.
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BlueSwan
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« Reply #14 on: October 05, 2016, 08:57:15 AM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 05, 2016, 08:34:56 AM
Splendid poll. Hillary is going to maul Trump worse than that bear did to Leonardo Di Caprio.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #15 on: October 05, 2016, 09:08:01 AM »
Most pollsters break down white college vs white non college. I think maybe they got too much white college grads...
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KingSweden
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« Reply #16 on: October 05, 2016, 09:09:10 AM »
Quote from: Alpha on October 05, 2016, 08:57:05 AM
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 05, 2016, 08:34:56 AM
Splendid poll. Hillary is going to maul Trump worse than that bear did to Leonardo Di Caprio.

Trump will spend the next four years eating raw fish and sleeping in horse carcasses before he runs again in 2020.

This would have made The revenant much better
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #17 on: October 05, 2016, 09:09:51 AM »
These guys have an A rating from 538 and no apparent R/D Lean... so. Yeah.
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Rand
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« Reply #18 on: October 05, 2016, 09:31:26 AM »
Tax Evader McWomanizer is done.
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Figueira
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« Reply #19 on: October 05, 2016, 09:44:17 AM »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on October 05, 2016, 08:27:15 AM
But Seriously? told me Trump was the most electable Republican!

Who knows? Maybe [insert your favorite candidate here] would be doing worse.

(Not that I buy the "Trump is the most electable Republican" argument, but this sort of thing is pure speculation.)
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mark_twain
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« Reply #20 on: October 05, 2016, 09:50:42 AM »
Great poll!

A-rated, and excellent result!
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #21 on: October 05, 2016, 10:12:48 AM »
Quote from: Xiivi on October 05, 2016, 10:08:12 AM
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on October 05, 2016, 09:09:51 AM
These guys have an A rating from 538 and no apparent R/D Lean... so. Yeah.

Don't worry, I'm sure Nate Silver grades on a curve and will boost up some B/C-grade pollsters in the model to make up for this!

Actually, this poll did move the needle a bit. Seemed to add about .3-.5% in the three models.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #22 on: October 05, 2016, 10:16:24 AM »
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on October 05, 2016, 10:12:48 AM
Quote from: Xiivi on October 05, 2016, 10:08:12 AM
Quote from: Wiz in Wis on October 05, 2016, 09:09:51 AM
These guys have an A rating from 538 and no apparent R/D Lean... so. Yeah.

Don't worry, I'm sure Nate Silver grades on a curve and will boost up some B/C-grade pollsters in the model to make up for this!

Actually, this poll did move the needle a bit. Seemed to add about .3-.5% in the three models.

Yeah, she was up by about 4% before this poll, now around 4.5%. My goal is she gets to around 5 by the debate on Sunday.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #23 on: October 05, 2016, 10:17:45 AM »
Any impact from this poll might be overshadowed by the excellent Google polls he added.

Although those broadly seemed good for Clinton as well.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #24 on: October 05, 2016, 11:01:18 AM »
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/national-polls/
If you squint, you can see it is weighted 1.03 (low due to only 385 likely voters).
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