YouGov MI/CO/NH/WI/NC/FL/PA/NV/IA/OH/GA: Clinton up, tied in GA (user search)
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  YouGov MI/CO/NH/WI/NC/FL/PA/NV/IA/OH/GA: Clinton up, tied in GA (search mode)
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Author Topic: YouGov MI/CO/NH/WI/NC/FL/PA/NV/IA/OH/GA: Clinton up, tied in GA  (Read 10832 times)
Seriously?
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Posts: 3,029
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« on: October 05, 2016, 11:10:11 AM »
« edited: October 05, 2016, 11:17:56 AM by Seriously? »

From this link: https://today.yougov.com/us-election/ it looks like a daily 50-state tracker with a two-week time frame.

Interesting. The problem is that it doesn't seem to break down the number of respondents per state that I can see.. There are about 36,000 interviews in there though.
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Seriously?
Sr. Member
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Posts: 3,029
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 05, 2016, 12:22:57 PM »

This isn't a "real" or "pure" 50-state poll-- IIUC, then like Morning Consult from a few weeks ago, it uses a technique called MRP to model characteristics of voters across the country, and then applies that model to its entire national sample to make predictions for each state.

That's why there's no sample size per state-- because every polled voter has a small effect on every state (which of course varies from state to state, depending on the characteristics of the voter).
Very interesting.Morning Consult attempted to give MOEs on theirs. This one, not so much.
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