Monmouth: Clinton +11 in CO (user search)
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  Monmouth: Clinton +11 in CO (search mode)
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Author Topic: Monmouth: Clinton +11 in CO  (Read 12145 times)
adrac
adracman42
Jr. Member
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Posts: 722


Political Matrix
E: -9.99, S: -9.99

« on: October 03, 2016, 01:50:54 PM »

Nate has this poll in his model now, FWIW.  Trump's chances in CO before and after:

Polls-plus: 33.8% -> 30.3%
Polls-only: 31.5% -> 27.6%
Now-cast: 28.2% -> 22.0%

Still doesn't have the Keating poll.  He rates them a B, with no bias either way.

Now with Keating included:

Polls-plus: 33.8% -> 30.3% -> 27.8%
Polls-only: 31.5% -> 27.6% -> 25.3%
Now-cast: 28.2% -> 22.0% -> 18.9%

Which moves Pennsylvania to the tipping point state.
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