A poll in October showing a close race in New Jersey for a Republican candidate that eventually loses by double-digits? That NEVER happens. And a university poll to boot..... Color me shocked.
Quoted for truth....
NJ will swing a bit Republican this year, with Trump gains with WWC non-college types, although he'll probably underperform a bit in Bergen County with angry Independent/Republican white women but yeah this poll seems a bit junk.
If it gets close, The Boss needs to start doing a statewide free concert tour to reassure, and I'll create a separate thread to link to the youtube vids of all his concerts. 
9/11.... 47.4% in Bergen County
No... obviously a lot more than just that.
NJ has long been a Republican state in Presidential elections until recent election cycles. Moderate Republicans have historically done quite well in both statewide and national elections. (George Bush Sr won the State +13 in '88 with Bergen going +17 R).
Bill Clinton narrowly won NJ by only 2.5% in '92, despite losing Bergen County, but dramatically improved his performance in 1996 for a yuuge swing.
http://americamagazine.org/content/unconventional-wisdom/new-jersey-likes-incumbents-learning-love-democratsAdditionally, Trump for whatever reason, has performed exceptionally well with Italian-American voters in the primaries. that represent almost 20% of the population of RI, CT, and NJ, as well as in heavily Italian-American neighborhoods and precincts within NY state.
9/11 did play a major factor no doubt, and in particular Bush won 51-48 among White Women and overall won the white vote 54-46, not to mention only losing Latinos 46-53 statewide, which most people don't realize has one of the highest raw numbers of Cuban Americans outside of Florida...
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/NJ/P/00/epolls.0.htmlNeedless to say, I have been predicting for awhile that Trump will overperform in places like RI and NJ contrary to statements that others have made on the forum....
