Times-Picayune/Lucid 2016 Tracking Poll: 11/6: Clinton +5 (user search)
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  Times-Picayune/Lucid 2016 Tracking Poll: 11/6: Clinton +5 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Times-Picayune/Lucid 2016 Tracking Poll: 11/6: Clinton +5  (Read 11482 times)
Gass3268
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« on: October 21, 2016, 12:43:29 PM »

i am quite sure there is a "tightening" (out of partisan reasons) from the +9 -non-Tracker-average but we won't see it before next week/sunday.

this was to be anticipated...the pussy-grab-video and the accusations have been so hard that even some of the most partisan voters have shrieked away from trump for a few days.

Another theory I have is that they probably don't want to tell a live pollster that they're voting for Trump even after Pussygate.

That may be the reason why online polls on average show more stable margins whereas live phone polls fluctuate more. It's could be due to the social desirability bias.

Double digit lead in polls was likely just a noise.

There is more evidence for the opposite of this theory
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