Times-Picayune/Lucid 2016 Tracking Poll: 11/6: Clinton +5

[Ebsy]

I hope the polling industry leans its lesson in 2020 and discontinues trackers.

[Ebsy]

The takeaway from this tracker is that both candidates' support are basically straight lines, with Clinton above Trump for the entirety of the tracker's existence.

[Ebsy]

This poll had Clinton at +12 a week ago.

I know it's in vogue to ignore the polls and press on with the idea that nothing has changed, but it's pretty clear that the last debate was not the resounding win for the Clinton camp that everyone proclaimed. Voters don't really care when Trump talks about a rigged election; his supporters agree with him and those who are turned off by him but still in the middle have heard far, far worse. He appeared marginally confident last Wednesday, and no big stories have dropped on the trail. The race is tightening. He won't win, but it's pretty silly to deny that a shift is happening.

Stop.

[Ebsy]

Trump is making this closer.  His chances are improving in Florida and NC.  Not enough yet to win the election, but the talk of landslide is being put to rest.

Nope.

[Ebsy]

Wow, surging!

[Ebsy]

Is it OK now to like tracking polls

That's why we shouldn't draw early conclusions from this week's state polls. All trackers show a return to the pre-Comey situation but state polls are usually lagging indicators.
And as the YouGov poll showed it's almost exclusively about response bias than voters changing their minds

No, stop lying.

Other than discredited fraud polls Rasmussen and LATimes, which no one with a brain follows.

[Ebsy]

Thank you Lucky Pickle.