CNN/ORC: CO: Trump +1 PA: Clinton +1

[jaichind]

I'm still convinced many people who toy with the idea of voting for the orange faced dictator will sober up come election day.

Of course that same narrative would also seems to imply that there are also potentially a lot of silent Trump voters.  Of course all things equal I still say Trump loses in a very close election.

[jaichind]

Drilling down further, let's suppose such a PVI shift (CO D PVI < PA D PVI) were to happen, what could explain it?

One way is the college whites that will swing away from Trump to Clinton mostly goes to Johnson in CO but goes mostly Clinton in PA overcoming the fact that there are more college whites in CO than PA to swing.   So what seems like a plus for Clinton in CO relative to PA ends up being neutral or even negative.