So in 2012, Romney did better in CD2 vs CD1 by 6.2%.
In this poll, he's doing better by 20%.
What's going on here? Is there that wide of a gap in educational attainment between the two districts? Is there some sort of 2016 version of the Canuck letter being circulated by Trump's goons?
The polls we're seeing this season are giving us an extremely incohesive map. If Clinton's losing ME-2 by fourteen points, Georgia and Arizona shouldn't be anywhere close to being in play. If Iowa's going to Trump by nine points, he should be ahead in Pennsylvania by at least 2. "Battleground Utah" should never have been a thought.
So conventional wisdom suggests we should be headed for either a total Trump blowout or a total Clinton blowout. But we're not.
and conventional wisdom makes sense this year because...? tired of people trying to extrapolate polls from one state onto other states 🙄
