McClatchy/Marist C+7 (user search)
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Author Topic: McClatchy/Marist C+7  (Read 2550 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
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Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« on: September 23, 2016, 11:17:25 AM »

And GOOGLE CONSUMER SURVEYS has a 3.62 weight on polls only (yes, the one that has about 30% undecideds), which is a lot higher than the next up, the one month Pew Research poll (probably the junkiest of the recent polls based on stats alone).
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2016, 11:24:37 AM »

Not to be an unskewer but this poll has a few minor issues.  

1.  Its last iteration was a C +14 outlier.
2.  It under samples whites 67% to a likely 70%.
3.  It also under samples Non-College degree whites at about 51-52% of the white vote vs 55% in 2012.  If anything I would think the NCD white vote proportion will be a higher this year, maybe as high as 58-60% (its at least 67% in the general population).

I agree the last one was an outlier, but C+7 seems to fit in with what other reputable polls are putting out. 15 to 7 is a massive correction.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2016, 12:18:10 PM »

I can understand them not being as enthused FOR Clinton. But make no mistake, hispanic turnout will shoot upwards because of Trump.
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