McClatchy/Marist C+7 (user search)
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Author Topic: McClatchy/Marist C+7  (Read 2559 times)
afleitch
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« on: September 23, 2016, 05:13:27 AM »

So literally everyone who is not garbage agrees that Clinton leads by somewhere between Obama 2012 and Obama 2008. Neat.

Obama 2012 less Iowa plus North Carolina.
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afleitch
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« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2016, 12:16:49 PM »

Multiple polls are showing that Hispanics are the least exited of any group about this election and view its results in the most neutral terms with regard to danger to themselves.  Don't know why that would be with Trump's rhetoric.

What surveys?

http://www.latinodecisions.com/blog/2016/09/15/tbt-ld-edition-voters-candidates-and-enthusiasm/

'Hillary Clinton is five points ahead of where President Obama was at this point in his re-election campaign four years ago.'

'Today, 51 percent tell us that they are more enthused about voting this time compared to 2012. In the 2012 tracking poll series, enthusiasm peaked at 47% the week before election day. Thus, Latino voter enthusiasm has already eclipsed the high-mark observed in 2012.

Narratives of Clinton’s under performance among Latino voters have circulated at various points during this election cycle. We find no empirical basis for such claims. Our data, from comparable polls taken at identical points in the general election cycle, suggest that Secretary Clinton is poised to do as well, or perhaps better, than President Obama did in 2012 with the Latino electorate.'
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