IL/WI-Emerson: Clinton +6 and Clinton +7
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  IL/WI-Emerson: Clinton +6 and Clinton +7
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Author Topic: IL/WI-Emerson: Clinton +6 and Clinton +7  (Read 3090 times)
KingSweden
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« Reply #25 on: September 22, 2016, 11:54:32 AM »

Let it be resolved - now and forever, until the ages of ages, Emersom shall be regarded as junk regardless of who it shows up, regardless of which state it polls, and regardless of margin.
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Wiz in Wis
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« Reply #26 on: September 22, 2016, 12:02:21 PM »

They probably didn't even poll the Senate races... Cry

Russ up by 10

http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_4b2b9517da414c0fb1c825dfe5416794.pdf
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #27 on: September 22, 2016, 12:15:03 PM »

Let it be resolved - now and forever, until the ages of ages, Emersom shall be regarded as junk regardless of who it shows up, regardless of which state it polls, and regardless of margin.

Seconded, and it should be extended to all landline-only pollsters.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #28 on: September 22, 2016, 12:16:25 PM »

Watch Silver adjust this to:

WI: C+5
IL: C+2

Nate Silver did, WI: C+7. IL: C+7

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Maxwell
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« Reply #29 on: September 22, 2016, 01:27:05 PM »

the fact that Clinton is up 7 in Wisconsin thanks to an all landline poll makes me feel pretty confident about her chances there.

also lol @ Illinois.
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #30 on: September 22, 2016, 01:36:33 PM »

Let it be resolved - now and forever, until the ages of ages, Emersom shall be regarded as junk regardless of who it shows up, regardless of which state it polls, and regardless of margin.

Anyway, crosstab doesn't look that crazy. Methodology looks realisitic.

Illinois: slightly pro-Hillary (Race) But still looks fine.
Wisconsin: slightly pro-TRUMP (Race) But still looks fine.

Illinois
http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_4b2b9517da414c0fb1c825dfe5416794.pdf
1. Race %
Emerson: White 67.3% | Black 14.8% | Hispanic 12.6% | Asian 2.2% | Other 3.1%
2012:  White 70% | Black 14% | Hispanic 12% | Asian 2% | Other 2%
2. Party ID %
Emerson: DEM 44% | REP 27% | IND 28%
2012: Same as this Poll.

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/IL/president/


Wisconsin

1. Race %
Emerson: White 88.7% | Black 4.3% | Other
2012:  White 86% | Black 7% | Other

2. Party ID
Emerson: DEM 37% | REP 32% | IND 31%
2012: Same as this Poll.

http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/WI/president/
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #31 on: September 22, 2016, 09:36:52 PM »

Whoever you support, I think we can all agree this poll is junk.
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