MU Wisconsin Law Poll: Clinton +2 LV +5 RV 2 Way Clinton +3LV +4RV 4 Way
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  MU Wisconsin Law Poll: Clinton +2 LV +5 RV 2 Way Clinton +3LV +4RV 4 Way
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Author Topic: MU Wisconsin Law Poll: Clinton +2 LV +5 RV 2 Way Clinton +3LV +4RV 4 Way  (Read 4316 times)
henster
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« Reply #50 on: September 21, 2016, 07:08:26 PM »

If Obama's approval ratings are consistently 10 points above water or more, she has no excuse for losing here.

Exactly, SHE is the reason this entire race is competitive, I wish pollsters would just ask Generic D against Trump and I bet you'd see them do substantially better than Hillary is right now.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #51 on: September 21, 2016, 07:09:45 PM »

Not bad for Trump. Probably the most likely FREIWAL state to go for Trump.

Florida + Ohio + Iowa + ME-02+ Nevada + Romney 206 + Wisconsin = 276.

Basically he needs to avoid anymore gaffes plus go all in for WI and FL. If he can lock them down and stay focused, he's got this.

It does seem to be his best path.... outside of some major development from a major upset from the debates, foreign policy crisis, economic collapse (a bit late in the cycle for that), it does look like the path to 270 flows through this combo (Although he could lose NV or IA and still win) as a more realistic  means to get enough EC votes to make it work than trying to pull out a major upset in PA or MI (Which should vote to the left of WI) and combined with the Anglo SoCal seniors in NV and lack of Millennial support for Clinton in that state, along with "angry French-Canadian Lumberjacks" Wink could avoid a 269-269 tie.
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