NH-Monmouth: Ayotte +2

[Figueira]

I think TNV gave us false confidence about this race. Still a Toßup though.

I mean if she wins, Republicans will likely have 54 or 55 seats in the Senate. If shes up by a convincing margin on election day and at or very close to 50%, I will move it to Tossup as well.

I've had it as Tossup as lomg as I've been closely following Senate races, and I expect to continue to feel that way until November.

Edit: just realized I had voted Lean D in the poll. Changed it.

[Young Conservative]

Monmouth has been showing some strange gaps between Senate races and Presidential races. I'm not sure why NH would swing so hard again Hassan, but Hillary's numbers would hold up.

People want Hillary because of who the alternative is, but they don't necessarily want to give her a lot of power to actually do stuff.

No one really wants another President Clinton....but some people really really really don't want President trump