IA-Monmouth: Trump +8

[PresidentSamTilden]

Time to change this one to blue on my prediction map. I doubt Hillary can make up an 8 point deficit here. Iowa's gone, with the wind...

[JJC]

Hello everyone. First post here. Been following this site for a while and finally decided to make an account.

Yeah, I definitely see Iowa voting more to the right for this election than usual. It has a very high white population (over 90%), many of which are blue-collar workers, which bodes well for Trump.

Honestly, Romney probably would have won the state if he could have connected with this group more.

[Lachi]

So what's up with the Clinton collapse and Trump surge  right now?

The media spinning Clinton's 'deplorables' comment and pneumonia incident negatively because they want their horse race.

[Ozymandias]

Can someone explain to me how it is that 538 is adjusting EVERY Iowa poll in favor of Trump?

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/iowa/

Doesn't that indicate a fundamental flaw in their adjustment methodology?

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

Can someone explain to me how it is that 538 is adjusting EVERY Iowa poll in favor of Trump?

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/iowa/

Doesn't that indicate a fundamental flaw in their adjustment methodology?

Trend lines. The polls were taken while the nation was bluer, so it figures that Iowa would be redder now

[Antonio the Sixth]

I know it's one of the best States demographically for Drumpf, but come on.