PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: McGinty +5
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  PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: McGinty +5		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: McGinty +5  (Read 1438 times)
heatcharger
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« on: September 17, 2016, 07:13:08 PM »
http://www.mcall.com/news/local/elections/mc-pa-trump-clinton-poll-20160917-story.html

McGinty - 43%
Toomey - 38%

This pollster has an A rating on 538.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #1 on: September 17, 2016, 07:25:32 PM »
Toomey's definitely in trouble. This lead isn't insurmountable (and considering the GE margin, it's probably a bit tighter than this), but it looks like, as previous polls have shown, Toomey isn't overperforming Trump by enough.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: September 17, 2016, 07:31:48 PM »
Sad!
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #3 on: September 17, 2016, 07:37:02 PM »
What's Muhlenberg's track record? I've heard it mentioned before but I don't remember if it's supposed to be a decent pollster.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #4 on: September 17, 2016, 07:40:20 PM »
Quote from: Jante's Law Revivalist on September 17, 2016, 07:37:02 PM
What's Muhlenberg's track record? I've heard it mentioned before but I don't remember if it's supposed to be a decent pollster.

They had Obama +6 and Casey +8 in late October 2012, which were pretty close to spot on.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #5 on: September 17, 2016, 08:06:13 PM »
Quote from: heatcharger on September 17, 2016, 07:40:20 PM
Quote from: Jante's Law Revivalist on September 17, 2016, 07:37:02 PM
What's Muhlenberg's track record? I've heard it mentioned before but I don't remember if it's supposed to be a decent pollster.

They had Obama +6 and Casey +8 in late October 2012, which were pretty close to spot on.

Oh well, then I'll take that! Smiley
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #6 on: September 17, 2016, 09:02:28 PM »
If Clinton +8 is the margin on election day, Toomey will lose. But I'm not ready to say it will be that wide.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #7 on: September 17, 2016, 09:31:32 PM »
D+1.
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windjammer
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« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2016, 04:40:10 AM »
Anyway,
Mcginty isn't a great candidate at all, she's bland, but uncontroversial. That should be enough considering the apparent Clinton landslide coming in PA.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: September 18, 2016, 12:26:28 PM »
She's a JD Lawyer just like Hassan, Feingold and Harris
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #10 on: September 18, 2016, 12:51:53 PM »
Quote from: Da-Jon on September 18, 2016, 12:26:28 PM
She's a JD Lawyer just like Hassan, Feingold and Harris
She has a law degree but never took the bar or practiced law (like Mark Warner).
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Maxwell
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« Reply #11 on: September 18, 2016, 02:07:29 PM »
It's pretty bad for Toomey that he actually isn't doing better than Trump, McGinty is just doing worse than Clinton (those 5% of voters for Clinton in the 2 way seem to go undecided.)
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #12 on: September 19, 2016, 07:09:48 AM »
Obama won Pa by 5.
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Enduro
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« Reply #13 on: September 20, 2016, 12:16:52 AM »
Neither candidate should win.
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