GA-OpinionSavvy/InsiderAdvantage: Isakson +13

[MT Treasurer]

47% Johnny Isakson (R, inc.)
34% Jim Barksdale (D)
6% Allen Buckley (L)

http://opinionsavvy.com/2016/09/15/poll-trump-pulls-ahead-in-ga/

[Heisenberg]

I think the NRSC should stop airing attack ads against Barksdale and focus on real races.

[Xing]

Safe R.

[Mr.Phips]

But, but, but...Isakson's below 50%.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This race is far from done since Isakson is below 50

[Mr.Phips]

This race is far from done since Isakson is below 50

The below 50% rule is garbage.  If an incumbent is ahead something like 44%-41%, then yeah, the incumbent is in big trouble and could well lose, but being up 47%-34% usually means something like a 55%-45% win in the end for the incumbent.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

This race is far from done since Isakson is below 50

The below 50% rule is garbage.  If an incumbent is ahead something like 44%-41%, then yeah, the incumbent is in big trouble and could well lose, but being up 47%-34% usually means something like a 55%-45% win in the end for the incumbent.

If it's a wave Isakson will be washed away. Jim Martin was down by the same margin and forced Chambliss into a runoff, and McCain will lose.