GA-Opinion Savvy: Trump +4

[Buffalo Bill]

So Trump is doing as well in OH as GA, and IA will be four points to the right of GA? lol

IA has been further to the right than it has been in our life times. I'm not sure if there's a lack of youth there to move it to the left?  I've noticed them in particular being further to the right than normal this year.

[Buffalo Bill]

Here is another state that if Trump wins, the next Democratic president will carry.

Aside from 2000 and 2004 where Gore and Kerry performed poorly in the south, when has GA been that far to the right?  Prior to Bush it wasn't very red either.  Democrats talk about GA and AZ like Republicans talk about MI and MN.

[Buffalo Bill]

If Georgia is within 5, NC and FL are probably blue. Of course none of the polls in this state right now exactly make sense.

Georgia has always had Democrats polling better than they do.  Remember there's also 3 people running so some of the states might be a little closer than normal.

[Buffalo Bill]

Here is another state that if Trump wins, the next Democratic president will carry.

Aside from 2000 and 2004 where Gore and Kerry performed poorly in the south, when has GA been that far to the right?  Prior to Bush it wasn't very red either.  Democrats talk about GA and AZ like Republicans talk about MI and MN.

The two democratic Presidents before Obama were both Southerners, which is clear from their strength in states which would now be considered "hard R". GA, on the other hand, went from McCain+8 to Romney+8, even as the nation moved towards the Republicans. The Atlanta area, in particular, has trended D quickly.

So it stayed the same in a four year span you're saying?  Trends don't go on forever.