IA-Monmouth: Grassley +17
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  IA-Monmouth: Grassley +17
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Author Topic: IA-Monmouth: Grassley +17  (Read 1588 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: September 15, 2016, 12:05:23 PM »

56% Chuck Grassley (R, inc.)
39% Patty Judge (D)

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_IA_091516/
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #1 on: September 15, 2016, 12:55:46 PM »

Btw: There's also a poll out of IA-03 (RABA) that has David Young up 15 points...

IA-03

50% David Young (R, inc.)
35% Jim Mowrer (D)

55% Chuck Grassley (R, inc.)
36% Patty Judge (D)

47% Donald Trump (R)
41% Hillary Clinton (D)

Link.
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Xing
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« Reply #2 on: September 15, 2016, 12:59:39 PM »

Pretty sure Monmouth just got a Republican friendly sample, since this race has been ~ Grassley+10 for a while.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #3 on: September 15, 2016, 01:21:02 PM »

Pretty sure Monmouth just got a Republican friendly sample, since this race has been ~ Grassley+10 for a while.
consider the fact that literally every Senate race in the county is moving towards the R's right now....
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xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: September 15, 2016, 01:23:36 PM »

Pretty sure Monmouth just got a Republican friendly sample, since this race has been ~ Grassley+10 for a while.
consider the fact that literally every Senate race in the county is moving towards the R's right now....

Sure, but Trump up 8 in Iowa, and Young winning by more than he did in 2014 seems a bit exaggerated.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #5 on: September 15, 2016, 01:26:36 PM »

Glad to see that Young, one of my favorite congressmen, is looking to be in good shape!
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Ebsy
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« Reply #6 on: September 15, 2016, 04:26:45 PM »

Pretty sure Monmouth just got a Republican friendly sample, since this race has been ~ Grassley+10 for a while.
consider the fact that literally every Senate race in the county is moving towards the R's right now....
"Literally every" including Missouri and North Carolina?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #7 on: September 15, 2016, 08:17:16 PM »

Btw: There's also a poll out of IA-03 (RABA) that has David Young up 15 points...

IA-03

50% David Young (R, inc.)
35% Jim Mowrer (D)

55% Chuck Grassley (R, inc.)
36% Patty Judge (D)

47% Donald Trump (R)
41% Hillary Clinton (D)


Link.

This was Obama +4, yikes.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #8 on: September 15, 2016, 10:32:11 PM »

Btw: There's also a poll out of IA-03 (RABA) that has David Young up 15 points...

IA-03

50% David Young (R, inc.)
35% Jim Mowrer (D)

55% Chuck Grassley (R, inc.)
36% Patty Judge (D)

47% Donald Trump (R)
41% Hillary Clinton (D)


Link.

This was Obama +4, yikes.
Iowa = West Virginia 2.0
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: September 16, 2016, 12:38:34 AM »

This one's over Judge never had a chance.

Wait for Selzer poll on Iowa GE
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Figueira
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« Reply #10 on: September 17, 2016, 01:46:23 PM »

Btw: There's also a poll out of IA-03 (RABA) that has David Young up 15 points...

IA-03

50% David Young (R, inc.)
35% Jim Mowrer (D)

55% Chuck Grassley (R, inc.)
36% Patty Judge (D)

47% Donald Trump (R)
41% Hillary Clinton (D)


Link.

This was Obama +4, yikes.
Iowa = West Virginia 2.0

More like Missouri 2.0, at most.

Anyway, if Trump is winning by 8, it makes sense that Grassley would win by 17. I don't think he will though.
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windjammer
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« Reply #11 on: September 17, 2016, 01:48:46 PM »

What is interesting to notice is that every IA poll, Grassley overperforms Trump by 10 points
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Figueira
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« Reply #12 on: September 17, 2016, 01:59:44 PM »

What is interesting to notice is that every IA poll, Grassley overperforms Trump by 10 points

It's funny that this will undoubtedly be Grassley's closest race since 1980 even though his state is trending massively R.
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