NV-Monmouth: Heck +3
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Author Topic: NV-Monmouth: Heck +3  (Read 1028 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: September 14, 2016, 12:08:21 PM »
46% Joe Heck (R)
43% Catherine Cortez Masto (D)

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NV_091416/
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2016, 12:09:04 PM »
Yep, this race is still a Toss-up.
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Xing
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« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2016, 12:13:11 PM »
If Heck can't overperform Trump by more than this on election day, he can't win.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #3 on: September 14, 2016, 12:20:35 PM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 14, 2016, 12:13:11 PM
If Heck can't overperform Trump by more than this on election day, he can't win.

This would be a good point if Clinton was clearly leading in the state, but it's a toss-up on that level as well.
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Kevin
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« Reply #4 on: September 14, 2016, 12:43:58 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on September 14, 2016, 12:20:35 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 14, 2016, 12:13:11 PM
If Heck can't overperform Trump by more than this on election day, he can't win.

This would be a good point if Clinton was clearly leading in the state, but it's a toss-up on that level as well.

Plus NV has a strong history of ticket splitting.

I can imgaine Hillary carrying the state comfortably and Heck still winning also.

NV SEN 2012 or even 2010 as an example.
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« Reply #5 on: September 14, 2016, 12:47:39 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on September 14, 2016, 12:20:35 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 14, 2016, 12:13:11 PM
If Heck can't overperform Trump by more than this on election day, he can't win.

This would be a good point if Clinton was clearly leading in the state, but it's a toss-up on that level as well.

Oh yeah, I'm sure Nevada will actually end up close on election day.... Roll Eyes
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« Reply #6 on: September 14, 2016, 12:57:38 PM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on September 14, 2016, 12:54:14 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 14, 2016, 12:47:39 PM
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on September 14, 2016, 12:20:35 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 14, 2016, 12:13:11 PM
If Heck can't overperform Trump by more than this on election day, he can't win.

This would be a good point if Clinton was clearly leading in the state, but it's a toss-up on that level as well.

Oh yeah, I'm sure Nevada will actually end up close on election day.... Roll Eyes

You're going to look pretty stupid if NV actually ends up close on election day, just saying. Tongue

Good thing it won't actually happen unless Trump wins by at least 2% nationally. Tongue
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Skye
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« Reply #7 on: September 14, 2016, 03:17:35 PM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 14, 2016, 12:13:11 PM
If Heck can't overperform Trump by more than this on election day, he can't win.
What if Trump wins NV? Oh right, I forgot it's safer D than NH.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #8 on: September 14, 2016, 03:23:21 PM »
Quote from: yeah_93 on September 14, 2016, 03:17:35 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 14, 2016, 12:13:11 PM
If Heck can't overperform Trump by more than this on election day, he can't win.
What if Trump wins NV? Oh right, I forgot it's safer D than NH.
Huh? Nothing's safer D than New Hampshire.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #9 on: September 14, 2016, 03:29:08 PM »
Quote from: Heisenberg on September 14, 2016, 03:23:21 PM
Quote from: yeah_93 on September 14, 2016, 03:17:35 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 14, 2016, 12:13:11 PM
If Heck can't overperform Trump by more than this on election day, he can't win.
What if Trump wins NV? Oh right, I forgot it's safer D than NH.
Huh? Nothing's safer D than New Hampshire.

Not even this?
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #10 on: September 14, 2016, 03:35:55 PM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 14, 2016, 03:29:08 PM
Quote from: Heisenberg on September 14, 2016, 03:23:21 PM
Quote from: yeah_93 on September 14, 2016, 03:17:35 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 14, 2016, 12:13:11 PM
If Heck can't overperform Trump by more than this on election day, he can't win.
What if Trump wins NV? Oh right, I forgot it's safer D than NH.
Huh? Nothing's safer D than New Hampshire.

Not even this?


LOL there is that. But there are no states safer D than New Hampshire. Smiley
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #11 on: September 14, 2016, 03:45:25 PM »
Quote from: Heisenberg on September 14, 2016, 03:35:55 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 14, 2016, 03:29:08 PM
Quote from: Heisenberg on September 14, 2016, 03:23:21 PM
Quote from: yeah_93 on September 14, 2016, 03:17:35 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 14, 2016, 12:13:11 PM
If Heck can't overperform Trump by more than this on election day, he can't win.
What if Trump wins NV? Oh right, I forgot it's safer D than NH.
Huh? Nothing's safer D than New Hampshire.

Not even this?


LOL there is that. But there are no states safer D than New Hampshire. Smiley

California?
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Skye
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« Reply #12 on: September 14, 2016, 04:00:07 PM »
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on September 14, 2016, 03:45:25 PM
Quote from: Heisenberg on September 14, 2016, 03:35:55 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 14, 2016, 03:29:08 PM
Quote from: Heisenberg on September 14, 2016, 03:23:21 PM
Quote from: yeah_93 on September 14, 2016, 03:17:35 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 14, 2016, 12:13:11 PM
If Heck can't overperform Trump by more than this on election day, he can't win.
What if Trump wins NV? Oh right, I forgot it's safer D than NH.
Huh? Nothing's safer D than New Hampshire.

Not even this?


LOL there is that. But there are no states safer D than New Hampshire. Smiley

California?
TNVol said NY would turn before NH, so there's your answer.
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #13 on: September 16, 2016, 12:28:45 PM »
Is Monmouth any good?
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Ebsy
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« Reply #14 on: September 16, 2016, 12:30:05 PM »
Generally, yes, one of the few university pollsters worth a damn. However they sometimes push out questionable polls.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #15 on: September 16, 2016, 04:25:46 PM »
Quote from: Kevin on September 14, 2016, 12:43:58 PM
Quote from: Dwarven Dragon on September 14, 2016, 12:20:35 PM
Quote from: xīngkěruì on September 14, 2016, 12:13:11 PM
If Heck can't overperform Trump by more than this on election day, he can't win.

This would be a good point if Clinton was clearly leading in the state, but it's a toss-up on that level as well.

Plus NV has a strong history of ticket splitting.

I can imgaine Hillary carrying the state comfortably and Heck still winning also.

NV SEN 2012 or even 2010 as an example.

NV 2012 was a little more like Democrats voting for Obama and then either blanking the ballot or voting third party because Berkley was a terrible candidate. I do see your point on 2010 - though Sandoval and Angle are so opposite in terms of candidate quality that it would be geniunely shocking if there wasn't ticket splitting.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #16 on: September 17, 2016, 10:22:24 AM »
What the heck.

(someone had to make that joke Tongue)
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