IA-Monmouth: Trump +8 (user search)
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  IA-Monmouth: Trump +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA-Monmouth: Trump +8  (Read 4371 times)
‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,867
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

« on: September 16, 2016, 11:16:19 PM »

i was baffled sincw years that a rural, white, religious state like iowa was at the same time so dem-friendly....trump is in my opinion a slayer of contradictions.
3 words: Reagan(ism) screwed farmers.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,867
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2016, 09:52:53 AM »

Can someone explain to me how it is that 538 is adjusting EVERY Iowa poll in favor of Trump?

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/iowa/

Doesn't that indicate a fundamental flaw in their adjustment methodology?
Trend lines. The polls were taken while the nation was bluer, so it figures that Iowa would be redder now
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