|           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 03, 2020, 05:22:33 am
News:
If you are having trouble logging in due to invalid user name / pass:

Consider resetting your account password, as you may have forgotten it over time if using a password manager.

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  IA-Monmouth: Trump +8
« previous next »
Pages: 1 2 [3]
Author Topic: IA-Monmouth: Trump +8  (Read 3205 times)
PresidentSamTilden
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 507


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #50 on: September 17, 2016, 01:55:45 pm »

Time to change this one to blue on my prediction map. I doubt Hillary can make up an 8 point deficit here. Iowa's gone, with the wind...
Logged
JJC
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 446


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #51 on: September 17, 2016, 05:03:15 pm »

Hello everyone. First post here. Been following this site for a while and finally decided to make an account.

Yeah, I definitely see Iowa voting more to the right for this election than usual. It has a very high white population (over 90%), many of which are blue-collar workers, which bodes well for Trump.

Honestly, Romney probably would have won the state if he could have connected with this group more.
Logged
Lok
lok1999
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,277
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -1.06, S: -3.02

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #52 on: September 17, 2016, 05:08:26 pm »

So what's up with the Clinton collapse and Trump surge  right now?

The media spinning Clinton's 'deplorables' comment and pneumonia incident negatively because they want their horse race.
Logged
Ozymandias
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 470


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #53 on: September 21, 2016, 12:53:22 am »

Can someone explain to me how it is that 538 is adjusting EVERY Iowa poll in favor of Trump?

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/iowa/

Doesn't that indicate a fundamental flaw in their adjustment methodology?
Logged
‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,868
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #54 on: September 21, 2016, 09:52:53 am »

Can someone explain to me how it is that 538 is adjusting EVERY Iowa poll in favor of Trump?

projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/iowa/

Doesn't that indicate a fundamental flaw in their adjustment methodology?
Trend lines. The polls were taken while the nation was bluer, so it figures that Iowa would be redder now
Logged
Trends are real, and I f**king hate it
Antonio V
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,041
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -3.83


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #55 on: September 21, 2016, 10:06:08 am »

I know it's one of the best States demographically for Drumpf, but come on.
Logged
Pages: 1 2 [3]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.11 seconds with 14 queries.