NC - Civitas: Tied (user search)
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  NC - Civitas: Tied (search mode)
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Author Topic: NC - Civitas: Tied  (Read 2560 times)
StatesPoll
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« on: September 15, 2016, 09:11:26 AM »
Oversampled Democrats too much.
Civitas(9/11-9/12) 600 LV: DEM 44% REP 31% IND 25%
https://www.nccivitas.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/September-2016-Release-Crosstabs-pres-guv.pdf

2012 Exit Poll(NC)
DEM 39% REP 33% IND 29%

#UnskewthePoll as 2012 Exit Poll

TRUMP: DEM(39%)x21% + REP(33%)x73% + IND(25%)x42% = 42.78%
Hillary:DEM(39%)x69% + REP(33%)x9% + IND(25%)x36% = 38.88%
Johnson: DEM(39%)x1% + REP(33%)x9% + IND(25%)x7% = 5.11%

Wink
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