NC - Civitas: Tied

[KingSweden]

Who would imagine NC is to the left of FL and OH?

[KingSweden]

While I think this race is very close and a tie (or even marginal Trump lead, as 538 adjusted it) is plausible, it should be pointed out that this pollster also found a narrow lead for McCrory, so a major grain of salt. I highly doubt McCrory outperforms Trump - in fact, I expect the opposite, in a reverse of what we see in other states.

[KingSweden]

As already said terrible demographic & this is a horrible poll for Clinton.

Crosstabs show her winning only 69% of the Dem vote while Trump has 21% of the Dem vote which would make it Trump's best performance among Dems in the country -  21% is pretty big.

Hillary has 9% of the GOP vote, considering Dems are more in number 21% is damaging.

I think unskewing this poll will give a 4% odd margin atleast which will make it between FL & OH!

Also, a lot of D crossover votes in the South. People voting R for years but still Ds technically