TX - Texas Lyceum: Trump +7 /+1(4way LV/RV) Clinton + 4 (2way RV) (user search)
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  TX - Texas Lyceum: Trump +7 /+1(4way LV/RV) Clinton + 4 (2way RV) (search mode)
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Author Topic: TX - Texas Lyceum: Trump +7 /+1(4way LV/RV) Clinton + 4 (2way RV)  (Read 10660 times)
jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,429
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« on: September 15, 2016, 11:22:57 AM »

My concern if I were the Clinton camp is that if Trump is only up by 7 in TX, Clinton is way up in CA and IL by Obama 2012 margins or greater, and national polls has it nearly tied, then Trump better be a lot closer in NY than in 2012 (possible) or places like WI, MI, MN, and PA are most likely a lot closer than 2012 winning margins which could push them into Trump's column. 
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jaichind
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,429
United States


Political Matrix
E: 9.03, S: -5.39

« Reply #1 on: November 27, 2016, 08:13:09 AM »

My concern if I were the Clinton camp is that if Trump is only up by 7 in TX, Clinton is way up in CA and IL by Obama 2012 margins or greater, and national polls has it nearly tied, then Trump better be a lot closer in NY than in 2012 (possible) or places like WI, MI, MN, and PA are most likely a lot closer than 2012 winning margins which could push them into Trump's column. 

Trump won by 9% so this poll was pretty close.  And my prediction on what this means came true as well even though Trump did gain ground in NY since 2012.  WI MI MN PA all closer than expected and all except MN went into the Trump column.
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