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March 04, 2021, 01:06:16 PM
Talk Elections
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2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV)
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Topic: Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV) (Read 8091 times)
dspNY
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,615
Re: Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV)
«
on:
September 11, 2016, 12:43:33 PM »
As for the polls, NH is an outlier.
The other three are interesting though, and we keep on seeing this very narrow Clinton lead bordering on a tie in NV coupled with a very narrow Trump lead bordering on a tie in AZ. Nevada was 15 points to the left of Arizona in 2012, so what gives here?
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dspNY
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,615
Re: Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV)
«
Reply #1 on:
September 11, 2016, 01:56:51 PM »
The RV numbers for reference
Arizona
Clinton 41, Trump 40 (2-way)
Clinton 37, Trump 37, Johnson 13, Stein 4 (4-way)
Georgia
Clinton 44, Trump 44 (2-way)
Clinton 42, Trump 41, Johnson 11 (4-way)
Nevada
Clinton 46, Trump 41 (2-way)
Clinton 41, Trump 39, Johnson 9, Stein 3 (4-way)*
New Hampshire
Clinton 40, Trump 40 (2-way)
Clinton 37, Trump 36, Johnson 17, Stein 3 (4-way)
*Stein is not on the ballot in NV
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dspNY
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,615
Re: Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV)
«
Reply #2 on:
September 12, 2016, 12:27:44 PM »
Some context to this poll and the other Georgia polls...
Trump is opening a campaign office in Sandy Springs (just north of ATL) so the smoke about Georgia being a battleground is now fire because he is more reluctant to open campaign offices
http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/09/11/donald-trump-opens-campaign-headquarters-in-sandy-springs/
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dspNY
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,615
Re: Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV)
«
Reply #3 on:
September 12, 2016, 12:34:27 PM »
Quote from: Classic Conservative on September 12, 2016, 12:31:49 PM
Quote from: dspNY on September 12, 2016, 12:27:44 PM
Some context to this poll and the other Georgia polls...
Trump is opening a campaign office in Sandy Springs (just north of ATL) so the smoke about Georgia being a battleground is now fire because he is more reluctant to open campaign offices
http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/09/11/donald-trump-opens-campaign-headquarters-in-sandy-springs/
We just opened an office in Hudson, MA so does that mean that it's Battleground MA
You're just wasting money
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dspNY
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,615
Re: Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV)
«
Reply #4 on:
September 12, 2016, 01:44:39 PM »
Quote from: Classic Conservative on September 12, 2016, 01:44:02 PM
Quote from: dspNY on September 12, 2016, 12:34:27 PM
Quote from: Classic Conservative on September 12, 2016, 12:31:49 PM
Quote from: dspNY on September 12, 2016, 12:27:44 PM
Some context to this poll and the other Georgia polls...
Trump is opening a campaign office in Sandy Springs (just north of ATL) so the smoke about Georgia being a battleground is now fire because he is more reluctant to open campaign offices
http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/09/11/donald-trump-opens-campaign-headquarters-in-sandy-springs/
We just opened an office in Hudson, MA so does that mean that it's Battleground MA
You're just wasting money
Hillary has an office in Boston, does that mean that she is wasting money?
Yes, Massachusetts is noncompetitive, unlike Georgia
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