Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV) (user search)

dspNY
Sr. Member

Posts: 2,615

Re: Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV)

« on: September 11, 2016, 12:43:33 PM »

As for the polls, NH is an outlier.

The other three are interesting though, and we keep on seeing this very narrow Clinton lead bordering on a tie in NV coupled with a very narrow Trump lead bordering on a tie in AZ. Nevada was 15 points to the left of Arizona in 2012, so what gives here?

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dspNY
Sr. Member

Posts: 2,615

Re: Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV)

« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2016, 01:56:51 PM »

The RV numbers for reference

Arizona

Clinton 41, Trump 40 (2-way)
Clinton 37, Trump 37, Johnson 13, Stein 4 (4-way)

Georgia

Clinton 44, Trump 44 (2-way)
Clinton 42, Trump 41, Johnson 11 (4-way)

Nevada

Clinton 46, Trump 41 (2-way)
Clinton 41, Trump 39, Johnson 9, Stein 3 (4-way)*

New Hampshire

Clinton 40, Trump 40 (2-way)
Clinton 37, Trump 36, Johnson 17, Stein 3 (4-way)

*Stein is not on the ballot in NV

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dspNY
Sr. Member

Posts: 2,615

Re: Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV)

« Reply #2 on: September 12, 2016, 12:27:44 PM »

Some context to this poll and the other Georgia polls...

Trump is opening a campaign office in Sandy Springs (just north of ATL) so the smoke about Georgia being a battleground is now fire because he is more reluctant to open campaign offices

http://politics.blog.ajc.com/2016/09/11/donald-trump-opens-campaign-headquarters-in-sandy-springs/

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