Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV) (user search)
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  Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV)  (Read 11269 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: September 11, 2016, 12:32:15 AM »
Would you please be so kind and post a link for these results ?

Thx.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2016, 12:45:46 AM »

Then it's probably right.

But bad for this political editor to post the results before his company even released them.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: September 11, 2016, 01:04:20 AM »
If these are added to the database, Hillary will fall below 270 EV again for the first time in a few months ... (because NV goes from Clinton to tossup).
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: September 11, 2016, 04:07:26 AM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on September 11, 2016, 04:01:51 AM
Does Marist usually publish a poll on Saturday night?

No, but I guess they do on Sunday.

Also notice that the guy from MSNBC (if this account is real) posted it yesterday, because he probably thought that nobody would find it anyway ...
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: September 11, 2016, 08:39:13 AM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on September 11, 2016, 08:25:19 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on September 11, 2016, 01:04:20 AM
If these are added to the database, Hillary will fall below 270 EV again for the first time in a few months ... (because NV goes from Clinton to tossup).

I added them, but since Stein isn't on the ballot in NV, I added the 2-way numbers to the database. So NV stays red... for now.

Thx for adding them, but I don't agree with your reasoning.

You are now ignoring 2 candidates, not just 1. Johnson is getting double-digits in NV, so this poll should have been added. Just leave away the Stein percentage.

PS: I find it funny that pollsters have no clue which candidates are on the ballot in some states ... Tongue
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #5 on: September 11, 2016, 08:43:51 AM »
Quote from: TN volunteer on September 11, 2016, 08:42:16 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on September 11, 2016, 08:39:13 AM
Quote from: TN volunteer on September 11, 2016, 08:25:19 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on September 11, 2016, 01:04:20 AM
If these are added to the database, Hillary will fall below 270 EV again for the first time in a few months ... (because NV goes from Clinton to tossup).

I added them, but since Stein isn't on the ballot in NV, I added the 2-way numbers to the database. So NV stays red... for now.

Thx for adding them, but I don't agree with your reasoning.

You are now ignoring 2 candidates, not just 1. Johnson is getting double-digits in NV, so this poll should have been added. Just leave away the Stein percentage.

PS: I find it funny that pollsters have no clue which candidates are on the ballot in some states ... Tongue

Okay, so should the Stein voters count as "undecided" then?

Nope, just leave her out.

Add Clinton, Trump, Johnson, Undecided.

Doesn't matter if it's not adding up to 100%.
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