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March 04, 2021, 02:11:16 PM
Talk Elections
Election Archive
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2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV)
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Topic: Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV) (Read 8096 times)
‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,867
Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87
Re: Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV)
«
on:
September 10, 2016, 11:11:32 PM »
None of this would surprise me except NH, looking at LV... it would mean we were back to Clinton+6 or so, with an expanded education gap. But I'm not sure I trust these numbers with no source...
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,867
Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87
Re: Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV)
«
Reply #1 on:
September 11, 2016, 08:29:38 AM »
Quote from: Ljube on September 11, 2016, 12:18:46 AM
Quote from: Sprouts Farmers Market ✘ on September 11, 2016, 12:17:20 AM
Quote from: pbrower2a on September 11, 2016, 12:16:04 AM
If Georgia or Arizona is close, then New Hampshire is a D blowout.
If Nevada or New Hampshire is close, Georgia and Arizona is an R blowout
Of course they are. Georgia and Arizona were never truly competitive.
LOL. First you use the poll to make that argument, then you ignore the poll. Good job
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,867
Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87
Re: Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV)
«
Reply #2 on:
September 11, 2016, 08:59:12 AM »
Yep, NV is still close.
News at 11.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
Posts: 1,867
Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87
Re: Close races in NH, AZ, NV and GA in NBC/Marist polls (RV, LV)
«
Reply #3 on:
September 11, 2016, 01:17:57 PM »
Quote from: dspNY on September 11, 2016, 12:43:33 PM
As for the polls, NH is an outlier.
The other three are interesting though, and we keep on seeing this very narrow Clinton lead bordering on a tie in NV coupled with a very narrow Trump lead bordering on a tie in AZ. Nevada was 15 points to the left of Arizona in 2012, so what gives here?
Education gap, plus abysmal Hispani turnout in AZ.
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