Just checking, we realize NH went from Clinton +12 to Trump +9 to Clinton +31 in the first column, right? Geeeeeeezzzzzzzzzzzzz
You mean over the last 3 releases, right?
That's bound to happen when you literally have polls of 70 people. It's not a big enough sample to get realistic results.
Then why even post it?
Ask Google Surveys. They've chosen to release polls with 70 respondents, and 538 is including them in their models. I only post what Google Surveys has reported. The sample size is included as a column for a reason.
Yeah, but if you think they're that worthless (I agree with you, as should anyone that isn't a discredited fraud), nobody's forcing you to post them...
They're not all worthless. Most state polls have sample sizes that are sufficient for a decent poll. It's largely the polls in the 3-5 EV states that are sometimes dubious due to low sample sizes... and Kansas. I still suspect Google Surveys has a problem resolving all the non-Kansan IP addresses that are geographically resolved to a lake near Wichita, Kansas.
The Google Survey polls Atlas users have commissioned in the 3-5 EV states are at least plausible because the sample size is larger.
Yeah, they're far from A+s, and more often than other polls spit out some real eggs, but they're not as bad on the whole as people make them out to be.
