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  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Google Consumer Surveys 50-state breakdown (search mode)
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Author Topic: Google Consumer Surveys 50-state breakdown  (Read 12046 times)
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« on: September 09, 2016, 09:05:28 pm »

Biggest pile of junk I've ever seen. Their sample is 56% male, which I guess is one of the perils of online polling. Amazing that they don't have Trump up with crossstabs that favorable.
Logged
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2016, 03:25:50 pm »

538 crunched the DC numbers.. They may be close to accurate if they took that leading 2 for Trump and added the 20% to Clinton. (Obviously, the sample sizes are hideous).

AUG. 31-SEP. 6   Google Consumer Surveys    66   LV   
Clinton 48%
Trump 22%
Johnson 9%

AUG. 24-30   Google Consumer Surveys   67   LV   
Clinton 44%
Trump 26%
Johnson 10%

AUG. 17-23   Google Consumer Surveys   
58   LV   
Clinton 54%
Trump 22%
Johnson 8%

AUG. 10-16   Google Consumer Surveys   54   LV   
Clinton 44%
Trump 25%
Johnson 6%
That's embarrassingly bad. Did they just not interview black people at all?
Logged
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #2 on: September 22, 2016, 02:05:43 am »

Seek help.
Logged
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #3 on: September 22, 2016, 02:24:28 am »
« Edited: September 22, 2016, 02:33:28 am by Ebsy »

National Topline
Clinton: 36
Trump: 35
Johnson: 8
Undecided: 31

Alaska
Trump: 39
Clinton: 21

Alabama
Trump: 55
Clinton: 18

Arkansas
Clinton: 36
Trump: 35

Arizona
Clinton: 37
Trump: 32

California
Clinton: 46
Trump: 28

Colorado
Clinton: 40
Trump: 28

Connecticut
Clinton: 39
Trump: 32

DC
Clinton: 43
Trump: 28

Delaware
Clinton: 41
Trump: 30

Florida
Trump: 43
Clinton: 30

Georgia
Trump: 45
Clinton: 30

Hawaii
Clinton: 43
Trump: 32

Iowa
Trump: 31
Clinton: 30

Idaho
Trump: 44
Clinton: 19

Illinois
Clinton: 39
Trump: 29

Indiana
Trump: 32
Clinton: 32

Kansas
Clinton: 41
Trump: 30

Kentucky
Trump: 41
Clinton: 30

Louisiana
Trump: 54
Clinton: 25

Massachusetts
Clinton: 50
Trump: 24

Maryland
Clinton: 43
Trump: 27

Maine
Trump: 35
Clinton: 33

Michigan
Clinton: 35
Trump: 34

Minnesota
Clinton: 37
Trump: 27

Missouri
Clinton: 33
Trump: 32

Mississippi
Trump: 55
Clinton: 17

Montana
Clinton: 33
Trump: 29

North Carolina
Trump: 40
Clinton: 32

North Dakota
Trump: 39
Clinton: 17

Nebraska
Trump: 42
Clinton: 29

New Hampshire
Trump: 38
Clinton: 28

New Jersey
Trump: 36
Clinton: 36

New Mexico
Clinton: 30
Trump: 30

Nevada
Trump: 34
Clinton: 32

New York
Clinton: 42
Trump: 28

Ohio
Clinton: 34
Trump: 33

Oklahoma
Trump: 43
Clinton: 28

Oregon
Clinton: 40
Trump: 28

Pennsylvania
Trump: 36
Clinton: 35

Rhode Island
Clinton: 46
Trump: 31

South Carolina
Trump: 41
Clinton: 33

South Dakota
Clinton: 31
Trump: 30

Tennessee
Trump: 42
Clinton: 29

Texas
Trump: 42
Clinton: 29

Utah
Clinton: 28
Trump: 24

Virginia
Trump: 37
Clinton: 36

Vermont
Clinton: 44
Trump: 19

Washington
Clinton: 37
Trump: 28

Wisconsin
Clinton: 42
Trump: 24

West Virginia
Trump: 36
Clinton: 19

Wyoming
Trump: 45
Clinton: 30
Logged
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #4 on: September 22, 2016, 02:35:14 am »
« Edited: September 22, 2016, 02:47:01 am by Ebsy »

I honestly can't decide which result is the junkiest one. So much trash.
Your new electoral map!

Logged
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #5 on: October 05, 2016, 02:03:34 pm »

Clinton's lead is +5 nationally in this batch of junk.
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Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #6 on: October 10, 2016, 09:18:43 pm »

Google Consumer Survey poll individual state results are always wonky.
Massive understatement.
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Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #7 on: October 10, 2016, 09:20:35 pm »

I honestly think that GCS has a systemic problem polling the South.
Logged
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2016, 04:42:05 pm »

It would be great if GCS' last poll churns out reasonable accurate results, and they are given a pass for all the junk they pushed out into the world.
Logged
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #9 on: November 01, 2016, 10:19:52 pm »

The number of junk polls this year is very annoying.
It's heavily influencing the polling averages as well.
Logged
Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2016, 10:17:02 pm »


I don't see an update on FiveThirtyEight or Google's own websites.  I expect their final polls on Monday or Tuesday.  They usually take 5 days.
The last update was on the 1st.
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Ebsy
Concerned Citizen
*****
Posts: 8,001
United States


« Reply #11 on: November 08, 2016, 02:44:17 am »

Definitely going to lose their high pollster rating!
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