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  Talk Elections
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  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  Google Consumer Surveys 50-state breakdown (search mode)
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Author Topic: Google Consumer Surveys 50-state breakdown  (Read 12025 times)
Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

« on: September 14, 2016, 02:22:14 pm »

538 updated with their newest results, which include these gems:

Arkansas: Trump +1
DC: Clinton +6
Kansas: Clinton +9
New Jersey: Clinton +2
West Virginia: Clinton +1
I can't even
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,648
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2016, 07:57:47 pm »

So this is the map?
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,648
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

« Reply #2 on: October 05, 2016, 09:31:06 am »

The samples are wayyy to small for some states. 74 LVs in New Hampshire, for instance.

I have to agree that the map is glorious, though.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
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Posts: 3,648
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

« Reply #3 on: October 05, 2016, 10:18:22 am »

The state-by-state breakdown would actually make perfect sense in an election where the GOP was making historic inroads among black voters, while Democrats improved significantly with whites (both college and non-college educated). Trump does better than you'd expect in all the states with more blacks and underperforms in all the whiter states. Of course this is not happening so what is more likely is that GCS is overpolling white liberals and underpolling minorities.
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Boston Bread
New Canadaland
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,648
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00

« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2016, 06:31:33 pm »
« Edited: October 10, 2016, 06:35:25 pm by New Canadaland »

There's a new batch of Google polls out. Clinton up 39 points in NH, which is about what you'd expect.

edit: here's the link if anyone needs it https://datastudio.google.com/#/org//reporting/0B29GVb5ISrT0TGk1TW5tVF9Ed2M/page/YgS
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