Figueira
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« on: September 07, 2016, 07:14:35 AM » |
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I think MS is going to be competitive, but I think the GA, NC, FL, MI, and WI will as well.
The logic with these maps is generally "The Democrats will start winning the South, and the Republicans will make up for it in the Midwest." It's just as likely that Republicans will try to stay afloat in the South. MS is small enough that they might let it slide through, but GA, NC, FL, and TX are going to remain tossups at best (for Democrats) and the Democrats will maintain their advantage in the upper Midwest. I can see WI and MI as tossups, but not full-on Republican.
Technically, the Democrats could trade the entire Midwest and PA with NC, GA, and AZ and still win presidential elections (assuming they win all the other Obama states), but again, huge Senate problem unless vote-splitting becomes a big thing again.
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