Home-stretch polling
Wells:
Quote from: Pandaguineapig on September 06, 2016, 09:02:42 AM
Quote from: Left on September 06, 2016, 08:58:33 AM
Quote from: LittleBigOctopus on September 06, 2016, 08:54:15 AM
Quote from: pbrower2a on September 06, 2016, 08:50:29 AM
The Washington Post has polled all fifty states.
No, it was C- online pollster Survey Monkey.
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::)
Really, just stop. You can't discount polls just because they are from a C- pollster as long the results look right. And in this case, they do.
And the Washington Post did play a role in this poll.
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Yes, Ohio being to the right of Texas and Mississippi over a 24 day polling period looks right
50 state polls are bound to have a few inconsistencies, but it's (a) better than Ipsos, (b) previous polls in Texas and Mississippi have shown it within single digits, and other polls have shown a Trump lead in Ohio.
Erich Maria Remarque:
Quote from: Left on September 06, 2016, 08:58:33 AM
Quote from: LittleBigOctopus on September 06, 2016, 08:54:15 AM
Quote from: pbrower2a on September 06, 2016, 08:50:29 AM
The Washington Post has polled all fifty states.
No, it was C- online pollster Survey Monkey.
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
::)
Really, just stop. You can't discount polls just because they are from a C- pollster as long the results look right. And in this case, they do.
They have still nothing to do with WaPo.
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[/quote]
This has nothing to do with WaPo. Ipsos state survey has not same sample as they weekly polls, but is still done by Ipsos. Same here.
Erich Maria Remarque:
Quote from: Left on September 06, 2016, 09:08:32 AM
50 state polls are bound to have a few inconsistencies, but it's (a) better than Ipsos, (b) previous polls in Texas and Mississippi have shown it within single digits, and other polls have shown a Trump lead in Ohio.
Based on what?
Whatever... You're choosing the polls :)
pbrower2a:
We will have more polls. Anything that fits the criterion of a lead with at least 45% for the leader and without an agenda for the pollster can supplant this one.
We have polls for states that had not been polled -- like those in the High Plains and some that hadn't been polled for a very long time -- maybe last year or so. So, yes, we can start with this. Polling samples at least look large.
Example: PPP polled Florida this weekend.
Does anyone think that PPP, Quinnipiac, Marist, or many of the other active pollsters will shut down?
This is a clean, but practically full slate. Beginning no later than tomorrow I consider these polls obsolete that anything not from a pollster with an agenda will supplant these polls.
Wells:
Quote from: LittleBigOctopus on September 06, 2016, 09:09:23 AM
Quote from: Left on September 06, 2016, 08:58:33 AM
Quote from: LittleBigOctopus on September 06, 2016, 08:54:15 AM
Quote from: pbrower2a on September 06, 2016, 08:50:29 AM
The Washington Post has polled all fifty states.
No, it was C- online pollster Survey Monkey.
Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.
::)
Really, just stop. You can't discount polls just because they are from a C- pollster as long the results look right. And in this case, they do.
They have nothing to do with WaPo still.
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This has nothing to do with WaPo. Ipsos state survey has not same sample as they weekly polls, but is still done by Ipsos. Same here.
[/quote]
And Ipsos is an A pollster, so you trust it's results, right?After all A=automatically good and C- = automatically bad.
The truth is that Reuters does have an effect on the Ipsos polling, and the Washington Post did affect this poll when it comes to weighting.
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