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  Talk Elections
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  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
  NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6 (two-way) +4 (four-way) (search mode)
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Author Topic: NBC/SurveyMonkey National Poll: Clinton +6 (two-way) +4 (four-way)  (Read 1615 times)
Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« on: September 06, 2016, 07:03:49 am »

That looks pretty accurate. Certainly more believable than the CNN numbers.
Please, stop it. It is normal.

When the race was about Clinton +9, we got polls Clinton +12-14 and polls showing her up 5-7.

Now, when the race is about +3, we'll get polls showing tie/Trump +1-3, but also polls showing Clinton +5-7.

It is normal.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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Posts: 3,646
Sweden


« Reply #1 on: September 06, 2016, 07:17:58 am »

Dems is defending C- online weekly poll with Clinton +1.0 house effect.

Never saw this coming...

Wait, my theory was that Dems liked only polls showing Clinton winning. Consistent!
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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Posts: 3,646
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« Reply #2 on: September 06, 2016, 07:19:06 am »

Party ID was tied in 2004 (37-37) according to exit polls from 2004.

The mistake the Dems has made is thinking 2008-2012 was some kind of default.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
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Posts: 3,646
Sweden


« Reply #3 on: September 06, 2016, 07:48:32 am »

Dems is defending C- online weekly poll with Clinton +1.0 house effect.

SurveyMonkey is C-, NBC is A-, and a Clinton +1 house effect means that the real results are Clinton +5 and 3 which isn't too bad.

NBC has nothing to do with this particular poll.

Wait, my theory was that Dems liked only polls showing Clinton winning. Consistent!

You think? Of course people like polls that show their candidate winning. Are we supposed to look at a Trump +2 poll and feel happy?

And like you're any better, especially when you defend good polls for Trump which are obviously junk. Everybody does it.
I defend their trend, that was pretty much consistent. That's why I'm not surprised by new A polls now. And I am consistent. QU was bad when showed "Trump friendly" results, but once it showed "Clinton friendly", it became goog accoridng to some Dems. The same about PPP. Or ABC favorables (regards to Polnut).

I have always said, that LA Times have a bias of 3-6%.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


« Reply #4 on: September 06, 2016, 08:09:15 am »

Dems is defending C- online weekly poll with Clinton +1.0 house effect.

SurveyMonkey is C-, NBC is A-, and a Clinton +1 house effect means that the real results are Clinton +5 and 3 which isn't too bad.

NBC has nothing to do with this particular poll.

What? This poll is NBC/SurveyMonkey.
Who did this poll? Survey Monkey. NBC published.
NBC A- rating has nothing to do with it.

NBC News/Wall Street Journal has A-.

By the way, this poll is among RV, what can explain a little bit of difference.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,646
Sweden


« Reply #5 on: September 06, 2016, 01:32:34 pm »

That looks pretty accurate. Certainly more believable than the CNN numbers.
Please, stop it. It is normal.

When the race was about Clinton +9, we got polls Clinton +12-14 and polls showing her up 5-7.

Now, when the race is about +3, we'll get polls showing tie/Trump +1-3, but also polls showing Clinton +5-7.

It is normal.

Nate Silver:

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