CBS/YouGov: Tied in PA, Ross +1 in NC

[heatcharger]

https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/09/04/cbs-battleground-states-pennsylvania-north-carolin/

PA:

McGinty - 39%
Toomey - 39%

NC:

Ross - 40%
Burr - 39%

Weird poll.

[Gass3268]

Wow... encouraging results in PA. Toomey outperforming Trump by 8 points!

30% of African Americans are undecided. RIP Toomey!

[heatcharger]

Wow... Ross is SURGING! Burr's double-digit lead has evaporated!

Wow... encouraging results in PA. Toomey outperforming Trump by 8 points!

30% of African Americans are undecided. RIP Toomey!

LOL.

[/]

Wow... encouraging results in PA. Toomey outperforming Trump by 8 points!

30% of African Americans are undecided. RIP Toomey!

Yeah, then that's pretty good news for McGinty.

[Xing]

Toomey still has a chance, but overperforming Trump by 8 might still not be enough. Also, loving this Ross surge. Looks like while OH might be a lost cause, NC has become a much more promising opportunity.

[LLR]

Ross doing better than McGinty?

Online pollsters...

[Gass3268]

Wow... encouraging results in PA. Toomey outperforming Trump by 8 points!

30% of African Americans are undecided. RIP Toomey!

Yeah, then that's pretty good news for McGinty.

Haha, Toomey is currently only getting 1% of African American voters!!!

[Landslide Lyndon]

Incumbents polling at high thirties just two months before election day is certainly not a good sign.

[Heisenberg]

Burr never really had a double-digit lead, but he needs to do something about those numbers. NC isn't kind to its incumbents and unlike in other swing states, there won't be many Clinton/Burr voters here.

I expect Burr to overperforms Trump by one point. Just one. I do expect Trump to narrowly win the state as of now, though.
In Pennsylvania, it's encouraging how about 72% of respondents said they think of Toomey as a different type of Republican as Donald Trump. And while 30% of Blacks are undecided, in this state, they're only 17% of the sample, and Toomey only has 1% of decided Blacks. I expect him to get 8% of the AA vote come November. This race will be extremely important, and the NRSC should go all in on this one (and Indiana and North Carolina).

[Figueira]

Yeah, I think predicting NC as a reverse 2014 was a bit of an underestimate of Ross.

[windjammer]

Yougov is garbage guys, so no need of putting too much trust into this poll.

[swf541]

Burr never really had a double-digit lead, but he needs to do something about those numbers. NC isn't kind to its incumbents and unlike in other swing states, there won't be many Clinton/Burr voters here.

I expect Burr to overperforms Trump by one point. Just one. I do expect Trump to narrowly win the state as of now, though.
In Pennsylvania, it's encouraging how about 72% of respondents said they think of Toomey as a different type of Republican as Donald Trump. And while 30% of Blacks are undecided, in this state, they're only 17% of the sample, and Toomey only has 1% of decided Blacks. I expect him to get 8% of the AA vote come November. This race will be extremely important, and the NRSC should go all in on this one (and Indiana and North Carolina).

Agreed. IN, PA and NC are clearly the most important states for Republicans now. They have to win all three if they want to hold the Senate. Not easy, but still doable.

Winning NV would really help.

Well, I think you may want to wait for some more Florida polling now that the primary is over, I think that race will narrow rapidly as well.

[Heisenberg]

Burr never really had a double-digit lead, but he needs to do something about those numbers. NC isn't kind to its incumbents and unlike in other swing states, there won't be many Clinton/Burr voters here.

I expect Burr to overperforms Trump by one point. Just one. I do expect Trump to narrowly win the state as of now, though.
In Pennsylvania, it's encouraging how about 72% of respondents said they think of Toomey as a different type of Republican as Donald Trump. And while 30% of Blacks are undecided, in this state, they're only 17% of the sample, and Toomey only has 1% of decided Blacks. I expect him to get 8% of the AA vote come November. This race will be extremely important, and the NRSC should go all in on this one (and Indiana and North Carolina).

Agreed. IN, PA and NC are clearly the most important states for Republicans now. They have to win all three if they want to hold the Senate. Not easy, but still doable.

Winning NV would really help.

Well, I think you may want to wait for some more Florida polling now that the primary is over, I think that race will narrow rapidly as well.

PPP will have one in a few days.

[pppolitics]

Burr never really had a double-digit lead, but he needs to do something about those numbers. NC isn't kind to its incumbents and unlike in other swing states, there won't be many Clinton/Burr voters here.

All he needs to do is morph into Jesse Helms and they'll elect him over and over again.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Great news in NC.