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  Talk Elections
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  AZ-OH Predictive Insights: Clinton +1
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Author Topic: AZ-OH Predictive Insights: Clinton +1  (Read 1854 times)
heatcharger
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« on: August 29, 2016, 10:20:15 am »

http://email.connectstrategic.com/t/j-73630F4BD52B12D8

Clinton - 40%
Trump - 39%
Johnson - 7%
Stein - 1%

Conducted August 25-27. 728 LV. Rated C+ on 538.
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dspNY
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« Reply #1 on: August 29, 2016, 10:21:28 am »

Well it is in line with what McInturff, John McCain's pollster, said in the Washington Post
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Pro-Life Single Issue Voter #ReopenAmerica
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« Reply #2 on: August 29, 2016, 10:22:27 am »

Is this a combined poll of Arizona and Ohio??
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #3 on: August 29, 2016, 10:23:28 am »

Is this a combined poll of Arizona and Ohio??

No, this is just an Arizona poll.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: August 29, 2016, 10:26:32 am »

Is this a combined poll of Arizona and Ohio??

Lol, I thought that as well.
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LLR
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« Reply #5 on: August 29, 2016, 10:26:38 am »

Confirms my suspicions. Arizona's gonna flip, along with NC and possibly SC or GA
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #6 on: August 29, 2016, 10:30:41 am »

Wow!! Great news.
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jimmie
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« Reply #7 on: August 29, 2016, 10:32:32 am »

Confirms my suspicions. Arizona's gonna flip, along with NC and possibly SC or GA

Yes! It will be a great night for Clinton!

North Carolina called for Clinton and later in the night Arizona and Georgia flip..

then a day or so later... Missouri and South Carolina.. finally called.. May not be victories for Clinton but still embarrassing for Donald Trump to even come close to losing both states.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #8 on: August 29, 2016, 10:34:45 am »

Confirms my suspicions. Arizona's gonna flip, along with NC and possibly SC or GA

Yes! It will be a great night for Clinton!

North Carolina called for Clinton and later in the night Arizona and Georgia flip..

then a day or so later... Missouri and South Carolina.. finally called.. May not be victories for Clinton but still embarrassing for Donald Trump to even come close to losing both states.

Donald Trump will not be embarrassed. The Republican Party will be truly embarrassed.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #9 on: August 29, 2016, 10:36:17 am »

Wait,
This is Ohio or Arizona???
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #10 on: August 29, 2016, 10:36:53 am »

I would say let's wait for a real pollster to go to AZ, but no pollster will probably be able to accurately poll AZ.
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jimmie
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« Reply #11 on: August 29, 2016, 10:37:39 am »


It is Arizona, lol. If you click the link.

It it were Ohio I would be scared.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #12 on: August 29, 2016, 10:38:00 am »

Where are all Dems in the Emerson's B poll's threads?

Here you are, discussing C+ poll Smiley
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #13 on: August 29, 2016, 10:50:00 am »

Great news;!!!
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dspNY
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« Reply #14 on: August 29, 2016, 10:52:10 am »

I would say let's wait for a real pollster to go to AZ, but no pollster will probably be able to accurately poll AZ.

CNN went to AZ and found Trump up 5
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #15 on: August 29, 2016, 10:55:07 am »

There last poll was:
Clinton:47
Trump:42 in Arizona

I think this is an outlier
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Vosem
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« Reply #16 on: August 29, 2016, 10:59:38 am »

Confirms my suspicions. Arizona's gonna flip, along with NC and possibly SC or GA

Yes! It will be a great night for Clinton!

North Carolina called for Clinton and later in the night Arizona and Georgia flip..

then a day or so later... Missouri and South Carolina.. finally called.. May not be victories for Clinton but still embarrassing for Donald Trump to even come close to losing both states.

Donald Trump will not be embarrassed. The Republican Party will be truly embarrassed.

Why's that? All our congressional candidates will be running way ahead of him, and when we run a movement conservative candidate against Hillary we will win easily.
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Erich Maria Remarque
LittleBigPlanet
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« Reply #17 on: August 29, 2016, 11:15:31 am »

Their latest polls:

AUG. 1   OH Predictive Insights / MBQF   Clinton +3
JUN. 20   OH Predictive Insights / MBQF   Clinton +4

So it's showing a positive trend for Trump. It's like LA Times, but Clinton friendly. For instance Trump's chances have increased by 1% on 538.
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Xing
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« Reply #18 on: August 29, 2016, 11:23:44 am »

This poll could have a Hillary bias, but the only other recent AZ poll we have is CNN, so it's hard to tell.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #19 on: August 29, 2016, 11:31:55 am »

This poll could have a Hillary bias, but the only other recent AZ poll we have is CNN, so it's hard to tell.
Would you say the same it was other way around, i.e. if CNN showed C+1 and this C+ pollster Trump +7? Or would you dismissed it? Smiley

By the way, this poll showed Trump gaining 2-3 pps Smiley
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #20 on: August 29, 2016, 11:45:02 am »

This poll could have a Hillary bias, but the only other recent AZ poll we have is CNN, so it's hard to tell.
Would you say the same it was other way around, i.e. if CNN showed C+1 and this C+ pollster Trump +7? Or would you dismissed it? Smiley

By the way, this poll showed Trump gaining 2-3 pps Smiley

If the CNN poll was the only other one, yes.
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Figueira
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« Reply #21 on: August 29, 2016, 04:50:04 pm »

To clarify, the pollster is called "OH." This is a poll of Arizona, and has nothing to do with Ohio.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #22 on: August 31, 2016, 07:41:23 pm »

Yeah, this poll has actually trended toward Trump in the past few iterations, so it's somewhat decent news for him. Of course, the fact that AZ is in question at all shows he's not exactly in the best position.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #23 on: August 31, 2016, 07:42:34 pm »

New Poll: Arizona President by Other Source on 2016-08-27

Summary: D: 40%, R: 39%, U: 13%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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