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Author Topic: New poll hype thread  (Read 94038 times)
Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #1250 on: November 04, 2016, 01:08:42 PM »
TIE I'll say
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bilaps
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« Reply #1251 on: November 04, 2016, 01:55:17 PM »
I think the race is Clinton +2 or +3 and honestly. If FOX goes higher than that it would be great news for Clinton.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #1252 on: November 04, 2016, 02:13:19 PM »
« Edited: November 04, 2016, 02:17:24 PM by heatcharger »
PPP just put up a tongue-in-cheek poll on their Twitter asking if people would like three more polls today.


Also, Nate Cohn put up a poll asking which state they'd like to see a poll from, and the choices are FL, NC, PA, or other. Perhaps they're prepping their final Upshot/Siena poll. Why does Florida always win these things? A PA poll would be much more informative.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #1253 on: November 04, 2016, 02:21:10 PM »
Florida has an early vote, which tells us a lot about where it will end up, and it's more of a tossup.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #1254 on: November 04, 2016, 02:22:59 PM »
https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/794618144610455552

Go, vote and retweet. It is just 50 minutes left.
Florida has just ~+150 in raw votes.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #1255 on: November 04, 2016, 02:23:50 PM »
I voted for NC.
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PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #1256 on: November 04, 2016, 02:25:19 PM »
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1257 on: November 04, 2016, 02:26:04 PM »
a florida poll is practically useless a NC one could be gold....
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Southern Delegate matthew27
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« Reply #1258 on: November 04, 2016, 02:26:56 PM »
Fox: Hillary +3
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dspNY
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« Reply #1259 on: November 04, 2016, 02:28:23 PM »
Fox: Tie or Trump +1 (to drive the narrative they are pushing)
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elcorazon
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« Reply #1260 on: November 04, 2016, 02:49:57 PM »
Fox: Clinton +3
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1261 on: November 04, 2016, 02:55:09 PM »
PPP calling it a wrap on public polling.

PublicPolicyPolling ‏@ppppolls  2m2 minutes ago Raleigh, NC
That's all the public polling we're doing this cycle. We only even have 2 client polls going this weekend, when it's been 30-40 a night...
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cinyc
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« Reply #1262 on: November 04, 2016, 10:20:37 PM »
As I noted in the Zia Poll/New Mexico thread, I have a New Mexico Google Survey poll in the field - my final total waste of money for this cycle.  Hopefully, it will get done by Monday.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1263 on: November 04, 2016, 10:21:27 PM »
Quote from: cinyc on November 04, 2016, 10:20:37 PM
As I noted in the Zia Poll/New Mexico thread, I have a New Mexico Google Survey poll in the field - my final total waste of money for this cycle.  Hopefully, it will get done by Monday.

lmao
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cinyc
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« Reply #1264 on: November 04, 2016, 10:27:05 PM »
Quote from: Arch on November 04, 2016, 10:21:27 PM
Quote from: cinyc on November 04, 2016, 10:20:37 PM
As I noted in the Zia Poll/New Mexico thread, I have a New Mexico Google Survey poll in the field - my final total waste of money for this cycle.  Hopefully, it will get done by Monday.

lmao

I almost feel like saying curse you, amdcpus for telling us Google Consumer Surveys even exist.  I am way too addicted to it.

It will be interesting to see if these one-question polls are anywhere close to accurate, though.  I'll have something else to root for other than the winner in South Dakota, Maine and New Mexico - the margin in each of those states.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1265 on: November 04, 2016, 10:29:12 PM »
Quote from: cinyc on November 04, 2016, 10:27:05 PM
Quote from: Arch on November 04, 2016, 10:21:27 PM
Quote from: cinyc on November 04, 2016, 10:20:37 PM
As I noted in the Zia Poll/New Mexico thread, I have a New Mexico Google Survey poll in the field - my final total waste of money for this cycle.  Hopefully, it will get done by Monday.

lmao

I almost feel like saying curse you, amdcpus for telling us Google Consumer Surveys even exist.  I am way too addicted to it.

It will be interesting to see if these one-question polls are anywhere close to accurate, though.  I'll have something else to root for other than the winner in South Dakota, Maine and New Mexico - the margin in each of those states.

Kudos for making these for us, but I can see myself falling for the same if I had some cash to throw at Google. Perhaps when I'm working for them Tongue
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heatcharger
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« Reply #1266 on: November 05, 2016, 08:56:10 AM »
New Florida and Ohio polls coming tomorrow from CBS/YouGov. Their Ohio polls have had a D-lean, so I'll guess:

FL: Clinton +4, Rubio +3
OH: Clinton +1
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1267 on: November 05, 2016, 09:06:51 AM »
Quote from: cinyc on November 04, 2016, 10:27:05 PM
Quote from: Arch on November 04, 2016, 10:21:27 PM
Quote from: cinyc on November 04, 2016, 10:20:37 PM
As I noted in the Zia Poll/New Mexico thread, I have a New Mexico Google Survey poll in the field - my final total waste of money for this cycle.  Hopefully, it will get done by Monday.

lmao

I almost feel like saying curse you, amdcpus for telling us Google Consumer Surveys even exist.  I am way too addicted to it.

It will be interesting to see if these one-question polls are anywhere close to accurate, though.  I'll have something else to root for other than the winner in South Dakota, Maine and New Mexico - the margin in each of those states.

I'll also say thanks for doing these, and it will indeed be interesting to see how close the survey results are to the final results.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #1268 on: November 05, 2016, 10:41:43 AM »

Kyle Kondik
‏@kkondik

Two late polls worth noting in IA/OH - Des Moines Register (probably comes out tonight) & Columbus Dispatch mail poll (tonight or tomorrow)
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1269 on: November 05, 2016, 10:42:49 AM »
Final Iowa poll from Selzer/DMR coming tonight, 7PM.

http://www.desmoinesregister.com/story/news/politics/2016/11/05/iowa-poll-released-general-election/93310622/
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1270 on: November 05, 2016, 10:43:42 AM »
IA: Trump + 4
OH: Trump +2

Mail Poll: Trump +3

Edit: Selzer .... Trump + 5
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #1271 on: November 05, 2016, 11:04:16 AM »

Niiiice Smiley
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #1272 on: November 05, 2016, 11:05:31 AM »

I assume that means 7pm Central, not 7pm Eastern?
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swf541
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« Reply #1273 on: November 05, 2016, 11:05:37 AM »
Its Selzer so its going to be her bizzare 2004 modeling junk.  So Trump +5 or so
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #1274 on: November 05, 2016, 11:08:37 AM »
contrary to big-voting FL i kind of trust selzer in IA.
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