Ohio - Emerson Polling: TIE

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Encouraging news.

Emerson College wasn't as terrible as I remembered in the primaries. Bloomberg has them just behind *gasp* Gravis at predicting the winner 94% of the time 15 of 16. (Gravis hit 18 of 19).

Emerson's margin miss was 7.2, which was right on par with Monmouth (7.3), but better than Marist (7.5)/Q (8.2).

With that said, 538 has them with a R+1.3 house effect and rates them a B- (for 2012).

Bloomberg Sourcing: http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-06-29/ranking-the-2016-presidential-primary-polls-and-predictions?cmpid=yhoo.hosted

[Seriously?]

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Yeah... What the hell is this?
3 point? Wtf? How did they calculate it?

They must have some academic research suggesting that kind of bias is my guess.

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Yeah... What the hell is this?
3 point? Wtf? How did they calculate it?

They probably have some academic study to justify that adjustment is my guess.

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is this the best quack Republican firms can do?

This is a college, not a Republican or Democrat outfit.

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is this the best quack Republican firms can do?

This is a college, not a Republican or Democrat outfit.

Emerson polls always have quack levels of Republican bias.

And Marist/Monmouth and Q seem to be showing a D bias this cycle. So what? All three remain colleges or universities. You take the biases in consideration and go from there.

From a net margin and horserace predictor basis Emerson > Marist/Monmouth/Q in the primaries.