FL-Mason-Dixon: Murphy and Rubio lead big in primaries, Rubio +3 in general

[Heisenberg]

I'd say that another difference between Florida and New Hampshire is that Rubio probably still has higher name recognition than Murphy, whereas Hassan is, of course, very well known in New Hampshire. People are assuming that Murphy will gain once he gets his name recognition up. That's not guaranteed to happen, and I do think Rubio is favored for now, but I think there's just less certainty in this race, at the moment.

The biggest difference is of course, Florida is a competitive state. New Hampshire is not.

[Heisenberg]

I'd say that another difference between Florida and New Hampshire is that Rubio probably still has higher name recognition than Murphy, whereas Hassan is, of course, very well known in New Hampshire. People are assuming that Murphy will gain once he gets his name recognition up. That's not guaranteed to happen, and I do think Rubio is favored for now, but I think there's just less certainty in this race, at the moment.

The biggest difference is of course, Florida is a competitive state. New Hampshire is not.

Well, neither are Nevada or Wisconsin.

Nevada is competitive. Wisconsin, on paper, should be competitive but all signs point to it not being. New Hampshire is not even remotely close to being competitive.

[Heisenberg]

Nevada is competitive. Wisconsin, on paper, should be competitive but all signs point to it not being. New Hampshire is not even remotely close to being competitive.

Heisenberg, do you think Republicans have a better chance of winning the MD Senate race than the one in NH?

On a very serious note, Maryland.
Ayotte is not too popular, while Hassan is and already has statewide recognition. Hassan has a good lead in the polls, and Democrats have been bolstering her with a lot of money.
On the other hand, neither candidate in Maryland has been tested statewide. There has been basically no polling so I really don't have any clue where the race stands right now. And open Senate races in Maryland have been VERY close. Look at 2006, Steele was not the best candidate, and it was a beyond horrible year for Republicans, yet Steele somehow managed to lose by only 10 points. Open seats should NEVER be taken for granted (see North Dakota 2012).