FL-Mason-Dixon: Murphy and Rubio lead big in primaries, Rubio +3 in general

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No presidential poll? Well, this confirms what we've generally seen, Rubio is somewhat ahead, but his lead isn't safe.

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I'd say that another difference between Florida and New Hampshire is that Rubio probably still has higher name recognition than Murphy, whereas Hassan is, of course, very well known in New Hampshire. People are assuming that Murphy will gain once he gets his name recognition up. That's not guaranteed to happen, and I do think Rubio is favored for now, but I think there's just less certainty in this race, at the moment.

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I'd say that another difference between Florida and New Hampshire is that Rubio probably still has higher name recognition than Murphy, whereas Hassan is, of course, very well known in New Hampshire. People are assuming that Murphy will gain once he gets his name recognition up. That's not guaranteed to happen, and I do think Rubio is favored for now, but I think there's just less certainty in this race, at the moment.

The biggest difference is of course, Florida is a competitive state. New Hampshire is not.

Well, neither are Nevada or Wisconsin.